000 AGXX40 KNHC 300748 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES RIDGE ACROSS GULF PROMPT MODERATE TO FRESH E TO NE BREEZE OVER E GULF WITH ONLY A LIGHT BREEZE OVER W GULF. LINGERING NW SWELL GENERATED BY EARLIER STRONG WINDS SUBSIDE EARLY TODAY. HIGH PRES SHIFT N OF AREA THROUGH WEEK REACHING CAROLINAS SAT AND PROVOKE FRESH S RETURN BREEZE W OF 95W SAT AND SUN. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS SE NICARAGUA WITH STRONG N BREEZE AND SEAS UP TO 14 FT REPORTED WITHIN 180 NM W OF BOUNDARY. FRONT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND TURN INTO SHEAR LINE TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE BY SAT. WINDS VEER NE AND DIMINISH TO A FRESH NE BREEZE WITH SEAS STILL 7-8 FT IN LINGERING N SWELL BY LATE SUN. HIGH PRES BUILD N OF AREA RESULTING IN MODERATE TRADES ACROSS REMAINING OF BASIN FRI AND SAT. WEAK TROUGH EXTEND FROM LOW PRES CENTER 1004 MB AT 22N59W IN TROPICAL N ATLC ACROSS EASTERN CARIBBEAN TO 10N64W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION AFFECT REMAIN ENTIRE ZONE E OF 61W. TROUGH FORECAST TO DRIFT NE WITH LOW PRES TIGHTENING GRADIENT ON NE QUADRANT TO PROMPT NEAR GALE FORCE E TO SE WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE RUNS NOW DIVERGE ON STRENGTH OF WINDS AND FORECAST FALLS SHY OF GALE FORCE CONDITIONS GIVEN THIS UNCERTAINTY. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTEND FROM 31N74W ACROSS CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO CENTRAL CUBA. WINDS HAVE NOW DIMINISHED TO A FRESH NE BREEZE WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6-7 FT TODAY AND TO 4-6 TONIGHT BEFORE N WINDS PICK UP AGAIN DUE TO NORTHERLY TRACK OF LOW PRES MENTIONED IN PARAGRAPH ABOVE. HIGH PRES 1025 MB BUILDS OVER SE STATES THU THEN STRENGTHENS TO 1033 MB THROUGH SUN TIGHTENING GRADIENT WITH ATLC LOW PRES. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. .SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES