000 AGXX40 KNHC 220610 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES OVER THE SE U.S. WILL MAINTAIN ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER MUCH OF THE GULF THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15-20 KT OVER THE SE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRES OVER THE SE UNITED STATES. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N70W TO EASTERN CUBA WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW PART OF THE AREA SUN NIGHT THEN MOVE ACROSS THE N PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE...THEN E OF THE AREA BY TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... LOW PRES IN THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY MOVE NWD WHILE DEEPENING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE IS CURRENTLY A HIGH PROBABILITY THAT THIS FEATURE WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. A TROUGH IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC WILL MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN SUN NIGHT...AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL