000 AGXX40 KNHC 211758 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES OVER THE SE U.S. WILL MAINTAIN ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER MUCH OF THE GULF THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15-20 KT OVER THE SE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN HIGH PRES OVER THE SE UNITED STATES. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N70W TO EASTERN CUBA WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH SAT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW PART OF THE AREA SUN NIGHT THEN BRUSH THE N PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE...THEN E OF THE AREA BY TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. ELY WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 20 KT N OF 25N W OF 75W TUE THEN DECREASE WED. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A 1008 MB LOW PRES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 14N80W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY MOVE NWD WHILE DEEPENING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE LOW HAS A POSSIBILITY OF DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. WINDS WILL INCREASE AROUND THE LOW AS IT MOVES TO THE NW. A TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC THIS WEEKEND...AND INTO THE E CARIBBEAN SUN NIGHT...AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS