000 AGXX40 KNHC 071819 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI OCT 07 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE EASTERN U.S. PORDUCING 20-25 KT WINDS OVER THE NE GULF AND 15-20 KT WINDS OVER THE NW GULF. THE HIGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. STRENGTHENS EVEN FURTHER OVER THE WEEKEND AND ELY WINDS INCREASE TO 25-30 KT OVER THE NE GULF. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST OFF THE E COAST OF FLORIDA SUN. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE N KEEPING BRISK WINDS ACROSS THE NE GULF THROUGH MON WITH WINDS DECREASING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THE LOW MOVES N OF 31N TUE AND WINDS DECREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WITH STRONG NE-E WINDS N OF AROUND 25N...WITH WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE AND SEAS UP TO 12 FT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 25-30 KT N OF 25N TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUN. THE MODELS VERY ON LOCATION OF DEVELOPING LOW PRES. THE PAST GFS RUNS HAVE BE RATHER CONSISTENT IN DEVELOPING THE LOW OVER THE WESTERN BAHAMAS AND MOVE IT TO THE N. THE GRADIENT BEWEEN THE LOW AND HIGH PRES TO THE N WILL CAUSE GALE CONDTIONS SAT NIGHT INTO MON. THE LOW WILL MOVE N REACHING THE GA/SC BORDER AROUND EARLY TUE. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO BELOW 20 KT TUE AFTERNOON AND WED. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N-22N BETWEEN 55W-65W... EASTERLY TRADES IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE...EXCEPT 15-20 KT OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...SPREADING NW OVER THE WATERS NEAR JAMAICA SUN AND MON. THE WINDS DECREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TUE AND WED AS THE PRES GRADIENT WEAKENS. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS