000
AGXX40 KNHC 061752
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2011

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
CURRENTLY NE-E WINDS 15-20 KT OVER THE N AND SE GULF AND N-NE 
10-15 KT SW GULF. THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND WINDS INCREASE 
TO NE-E 20-25 KT OVER THE NE GULF FRI AND E AT 20 KT ELSEWHERE E 
OF 90W WITH WINDS SE 15-20 KT OVER THE NW GULF AND E-SE 10-15 KT 
IN SW ZONE. THE HIGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. STRENGTHENS FURTHER
OVER THE WEEKEND AND ELY WINDS INCREASE TO 25-30 KT OVER THE NE 
GULF. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST OFF THE E COAST OF FLORIDA
SUN. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE N KEEPING BRISK WINDS ACROSS 
THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH MON. THE LOW MOVES N OF 31N TUE AND 
WINDS DECREASE.

SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W...
THE BROAD TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N65W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WILL 
DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT. HURRICANE PHILIPPE E OF THE AREA IS 
MOVING N IN RESPONSE TO THE TROUGH AND WILL MOVE NE FURTHER AWAY 
FROM THE FORECAST AREA FRI. NE WIND AT 20-25 KT NW OF THE TROUGH 
AXIS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 25-30 KT N OF 25N LATE FRI AND 
CONTINUE THROUGH SUN. THE GFS IS MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH LOW 
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE WESTERN BAHAMAS AND BUILDS A GALE LOW 
MOVING N THROUGH THE NW BAHAMAS SUN NIGHT REACHING THE GA/SC 
BORDER AROUND EARLY TUE. IN ANY EVENT WINDS WILL BE STRONG 
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N-22N BETWEEN 55W-65W... 
EASTERLY TRADES IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE...EXCEPT PULSING TO 15-20 
KT ALONG COAST OF S AMERICA THROUGH FRI. GRADIENT TIGHTENS FRI 
NIGHT AND WINDS INCREASE TO 15-20 KT OVER THE E AND CENTRAL 
CARIBBEAN SAT...SPREADING NW OVER THE WATERS NEAR JAMAICA SUN.  

WARNINGS...
GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
.NONE.

TROPICAL N ATLC...
.NONE.

SW N ATLC...
.NONE.
          
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DGS