000 AGXX40 KNHC 040622 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 220 AM EDT TUE OCT 04 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... REMNANTS OF FRONT OVER FL STRAITS AND E BAY OF CAMPECHE ATTM WILL DRIFT SLOWLY W AS AN INVERTED TROUGH RESULTING IN A SLIGHT NE TO E WIND SHIFT OVER SE PORTION AND PERHAPS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THROUGH WED. NE WINDS AROUND 15 KT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF AREA N OF TROUGH THIS MORNING. THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS WITH THE NE-E WINDS INCREASING TO 15-20 KT ACROSS THE E GULF THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. FURTHER STRENGTHENS INCREASING NE-E WINDS TO 20-25 KT OVER THE NE WATERS AND 15-20 KT ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BY LATE THU. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME SE OVER THE NW WATERS BY LATE THU. BY LATE FRI NE WINDS AT 25-30 KT N OF 28N E OF 90W AND 20 KT ELSEWHERE E OF 90W AND N OF 25N W OF 90W AND CONTINUING THROUGH SAT. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM BERMUDA NW BAHAMAS THEN STATIONARY TO NW CUBA. THE STATIONARY PORTION WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE BAHAMAS WHILE THE NORTHERN SEGMENT CONTINUES A LITTLE FURTHER E EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE PHILIPPE WHICH IN TURN WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NE LATE IN THE WEEK ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE FRONT AND HIGH PRES OVER THE E CONUS WILL INCREASE THE NE WINDS TO 15-20 KT...SEAS 6-7 FT...WED OVER WATERS N OF 27N. GRADIENT FURTHER TIGHTENS WITH 20-25 KT OVER WATERS N OF 25N AND THROUGHOUT W BAHAMAS BY LATE THU...AND 25-30 KT N OF 29N BY SUNRISE FRI CONTINUING THROUGH SAT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N-22N BETWEEN 55W-65W... REMNANTS OF STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE EXTREME NW CARIBBEAN WILL DRIFT W BECOMING AN INVERTED LOW LEVEL TROUGH THROUGH WED NIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY A NE-E 15 KT SHIFT. EASTERLY TRADES IN THE 15-20 KT RANGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL DIMINISH TO 10-15 KT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SAT. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON