000 AGXX40 KNHC 201820 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK HIGH PRES BUILDING OVER NORTHERN GULF WITH LIGHT WINDS GENERALLY 10 KT OR LESS...SEAS 3 FT OR LESS ACROSS MOST OF BASIN THROUGH SUN. WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NE GULF FRI THEN STALL ALONG THE W COAST OF FLORIDA OVER THE WEEKEND. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 31N. ELY WINDS AROUND 15 KT ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THU. E WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT ACROSS THE FAR SE PORTION OF THE AREA AS A LOW CURRENTLY WELL E OF THE AREA MOVES CLOSER TO THE FORECAST AREA. THE LOW MOVES INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SUN AND WINDS S OF AROUND 24N E OF 69W INCREASE TO 20-25 KT AND SEAS BUILD 8-10 FT SUN. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... LOW PRES IN CENTRAL ATLC AT 12N38W EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVE W THROUGH WED POSSIBLY BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LOW PRES CENTER REACH TROPICAL N ATLC FRI AND MOVE INTO ERN CARIBBEAN LATE SAT INTO SUN. MODEL GUIDANCE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT CONCERNING ITS WESTWARD TRACK WITH THE LOW SE OF PUERTO RICO SUN. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS APPROACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAINLY IN ITS NRN SEMICIRCLE SINCE EARLY WED. WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT IN THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE THU WITH SEAS BUILDING 8-12 FT. AS THE LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE APPROACHES THE AREA FRI WINDS INCREASE TO AT LEAST 25-30 KT AND SEA 10-15 FT. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS