000 AGXX40 KNHC 170741 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 340 AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK COLD FRONT IN NORTHEAST CORNER OF GULF BECOMING DIFFUSE AND EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRES BUILD ACROSS REGION TONIGHT AND SUN TIGHTENING PRES GRADIENT IN NE GULF. N OF 27N E OF 88W WIND INCREASES TO A FRESH NE BREEZE MON AND TUE...BUT SEAS REMAIN BELOW 5 FT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NE OF VIRGIN ISLANDS ENHANCES CONVECTION JUST N OF WEAK SURFACE TROUGH FROM 17N59W TO 11N60W. BOTH FEATURES MOVING W IN TANDEM TODAY ALTHOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES UPPER CYCLONE TO LIFT NE BY TONIGHT WHILE SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY W. LOSS OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WEAKEN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ALONG TROUGH SUN AND MON. HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER CENTRAL ATLC EXTEND SW BEHIND TROUGH THROUGH MON ALLOWING TRADES TO INCREASE ACROSS MOST OF TROPICAL N ATLC AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN ZONE. SOUTHWEST N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... WEAK COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF NE FLORIDA TODAY STALLS THEN DISSIPATES TONIGHT WITH RIDGE BUILDING IN ITS WAKE. FRESH NE BREEZE IN NW PORTION SUN-MON WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT AS PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS WITH STRENGTHENING RIDGE. TROUGH FROM 31N65W TO 22N77W DRIFT W TOWARD WESTERN CUBA AND FLORIDA COAST THROUGH MON. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES