000 AGXX40 KNHC 040604 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT THU AUG 04 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF OF MEXICO WITH A RIDGE AXIS 27N. SHIP AND BUOY DATA INDICATE CALM TO LIGHT WINDS WITH NEARLY FLAT SEAS OVER MUCH OF THE GULF. THE HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GULF THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LIGHT WINDS CALM SEAS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SW NORTH ATLC... WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD TO ALONG 30N BY FRI. TROPICAL STORM EMILY HAS SLOWED AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN TIP OF CUBA TODAY AND TONIGHT INTO THE SW N ATLC NEAR 22.1N 76.4W EARLY FRI THEN TO 23.8N 77.4W FRI EVENING THEN TO 27N79W SAT EVENING WHERE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 55 KT GUST TO 65 KT. EMILY WILL TRACK JUST N OF THE AREA TO 31.5N 76.0W SUN EVENING. AND WELL N OF THE AREA MON. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... THE MAIN FEATURE OVER THE AREA REMAINS TROPICAL STORM EMILY. AT 0600 UTC EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 71.3W MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. MINIMUM PRES WAS 1006 MB. EMILY IS FORECAST TO MOVE W-NW ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA THEN OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA LATER THIS MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS REMAIN OVER THE NE SEMICIRCLE. EMILY WILL MOVE N OF THE AREA FRI. ELSEWHERE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADEWINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. AFTER EMILY SHIFTS N OF THE FORECAST AREA FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. SW NORTH ATLC... .AMZ088...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 22N BETWEEN 71W AND 76W. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .AMZ086...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 72W THROUGH THU MORNING. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS