000
AGXX40 KNHC 010602
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 01 2011

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE SW GULF TODAY AND TUE THEN MOVE 
INLAND TUE NIGHT. OTHERWISE WEAK RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE 
NORTHERN GULF WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH THE 
FORECAST PERIOD.

SW N ATLC...
WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ALONG 29N THROUGH TUE THEN 
SHIFT S TO ALONG 26N TUE. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS FOR THE END 
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DEPENDS ON THE TRACK/INTENSITY OF THE 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...THAT HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO 
A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE LOW IS 
CURRENTLY E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO  BRING 
THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED THEN INTO THE SE 
PART OF THE SW N ATLC LATE WED AND THU AND NEAR THE SOUTHERN 
BAHAMAS FRI.

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W...
TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE INTO THE E 
CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING...AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE. LOW PRES 
IN THE TROPICAL ATLC WILL MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. 
THIS LOW HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE 
TRACK/INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM...AS MENTIONED ABOVE. 

WARNINGS...

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.
 
SW N ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
.NONE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DGS