000 AGXX40 KNHC 270606 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... NORTHERN EXTENT OF A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE SE GULF. BUOYS ARE INDICATING THAT A LOW PRES IS DEVELOPING IN THE NW CARIBBEAN JUST SW OF CUBA MOVING NW. THE LOW HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT ENTERS THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE LOW AND TROPICAL WAVE WILL TRACK NW AND APPROACH THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER SAT EVENING. MODELS ARE NOT PICKING UP ON THE LOW AND ARE INDICATING MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. HOWEVER IS THE LOW DOES DEVELOP WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MUCH HIGHER THEN MODELS INDICATE. SW N ATLC... SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS ALONG 29N/30N. ELY WINDS 15 TO 20 KT PERSIST S OF 24N THROUGH THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND SOUTHERN BAHAMAS. THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND BUILD SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...MAINTAINING MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE WINDS S OF 24N THROUGH THE WEEKEND THEN DECREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE N OF 16N ALONG 85W/86W WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRES ALONG THE WAVE JUST SW OF CUBA. A CLUSTER OF TSTMS NEAR THE LOW PRES. ELY WINDS 15 TO 20 KT IN THE CARIBBEAN E OF AROUND 78W THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 56W/57 MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FRI AND SAT AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN AND MON. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS