000 AGXX40 KNHC 201910 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2011 UPDATED TROPICAL STORM BRET LATEST ADVISORY INFORMATION AND ALONG WITH WARNING SECTION MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK STATIONARY HIGH PRES 1015 MB AT 27N87W PROVIDE QUIET WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT MOST OF BASIN. RETURN FLOW BRINGS MODERATE S-SE FLOW W OF 96W INTO TEXAS SE COAST. HIGH FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS RIDGE EXTEND W ACROSS GULF ALONG 28N THROUGH SUN. SW N ATLC... TROPICAL STORM BRET N OF AREA AT 31.8N 73.3W AT 1500 UTC MOVING NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 KT. BRET PRESENTLY HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT AND PRESSURE OF 1001 MB. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHERE WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...65 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 25 NM IN NW QUADRANT. BRET WEAKENING AS IT GETS INTO COLDER WATERS AND CONVECTION SEEM TO BE DEPARTING FROM ITS CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER...WITH MAXIMUM OF 14 FT...EXTEND 30 NM NE AND 45 NM SE OF CENTER BUT DIMINISHING ACCORDINGLY. HIGHEST SEAS THU EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 12 FT. BRET FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY SAT. WEAK LOW PRES JUST N OF AREA NEAR 33N57W PROMPT FRESH SW BREEZE N OF 30N FROM 50W TO 57W EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM AREA AND DIMINISH WINDS BELOW 20 KT WITHIN 12 HRS. CREST OF TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 76W APPROACH SE BAHAMAS WITH INCREASING CLOUDINESS AS WAVE INTERACTS WITH UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT ABANDONS WAVE WITHIN 36-48 HRS ALLOWING IT TO DISSIPATE BY SAT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 76W TIGHTENS PRES GRADIENT OVER CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FORCING STRONG E BREEZE ACROSS MOST OF BASIN FROM 65W TO 80W. SECOND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 44W ENTERS TROPICAL ATLC LATE FRI OR SAT WITH FRESH NE BREEZE W OF AXIS AND E TO SE WITHIN 240 NM E OF AXIS FROM 14N TO 23N. WAVE MOVE ACROSS EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THROUGH SAT...THEN ENTER WESTERN CARIBBEAN SUN OR MON. WARNINGS... SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .AMZ080...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 30N FROM 73W TO 75W... CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES 000 AGXX40 KNHC 201910 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2011 UPDATED TROPICAL STORM BRET LATEST ADVISORY INFORMATION AND ALONG WITH WARNING SECTION MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK STATIONARY HIGH PRES 1015 MB AT 27N87W PROVIDE QUIET WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT MOST OF BASIN. RETURN FLOW BRINGS MODERATE S-SE FLOW W OF 96W INTO TEXAS SE COAST. HIGH FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS RIDGE EXTEND W ACROSS GULF ALONG 28N THROUGH SUN. SW N ATLC... TROPICAL STORM BRET N OF AREA AT 31.8N 73.3W AT 1500 UTC MOVING NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 KT. BRET PRESENTLY HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT AND PRESSURE OF 1001 MB. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHERE WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...65 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 25 NM IN NW QUADRANT. BRET WEAKENING AS IT GETS INTO COLDER WATERS AND CONVECTION SEEM TO BE DEPARTING FROM ITS CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER...WITH MAXIMUM OF 14 FT...EXTEND 30 NM NE AND 45 NM SE OF CENTER BUT DIMINISHING ACCORDINGLY. HIGHEST SEAS THU EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 12 FT. BRET FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY SAT. WEAK LOW PRES JUST N OF AREA NEAR 33N57W PROMPT FRESH SW BREEZE N OF 30N FROM 50W TO 57W EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM AREA AND DIMINISH WINDS BELOW 20 KT WITHIN 12 HRS. CREST OF TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 76W APPROACH SE BAHAMAS WITH INCREASING CLOUDINESS AS WAVE INTERACTS WITH UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT ABANDONS WAVE WITHIN 36-48 HRS ALLOWING IT TO DISSIPATE BY SAT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 76W TIGHTENS PRES GRADIENT OVER CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FORCING STRONG E BREEZE ACROSS MOST OF BASIN FROM 65W TO 80W. SECOND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 44W ENTERS TROPICAL ATLC LATE FRI OR SAT WITH FRESH NE BREEZE W OF AXIS AND E TO SE WITHIN 240 NM E OF AXIS FROM 14N TO 23N. WAVE MOVE ACROSS EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THROUGH SAT...THEN ENTER WESTERN CARIBBEAN SUN OR MON. WARNINGS... SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .AMZ080...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 30N FROM 73W TO 75W... CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES