000 AGXX40 KNHC 151755 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES OVER NORTHERN GULF ALONG 27N. THE RIDGE WEAKENS MON-WED WITH A VERY WEAK PRES PATTERN AT THAT TIME. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE NE GULF WITH SEAS 1-2 FT WITH MOSTLY E-SE WINDS 10 TO OCCASIONALLY 15 KT ELSEWHERE. TROPICAL WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE SUN THROUGH EARLY MON INCREASING THE ELY WINDS TO 20 KT...THEN DECREASE LATE MON. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC... COLD FRONT FROM 29N65W TO 30N80W. THE FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY SAT THEN DISSIPATE SUN. NE WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 20 KT N OF THE FRONT. THE GFS DEVELOPS A LOW OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST MON AND DRIFTS IT NE THROUGH WED...HOWEVER OTHER MODELS DO NOT DEVELOP A LOW SO WILL NOT MENTION THE LOW IN THE FORECAST. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE FROM EASTERN CUBA TO 12N82W HAS WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS ALONG ITS AXIS. WAVE MOVES W ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AND W OF AREA SUN. LOW PRES FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N83W SAT THEN MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA SUN. COPIOUS RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES MAY OCCUR. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS 000 AGXX40 KNHC 151755 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES OVER NORTHERN GULF ALONG 27N. THE RIDGE WEAKENS MON-WED WITH A VERY WEAK PRES PATTERN AT THAT TIME. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE NE GULF WITH SEAS 1-2 FT WITH MOSTLY E-SE WINDS 10 TO OCCASIONALLY 15 KT ELSEWHERE. TROPICAL WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE SUN THROUGH EARLY MON INCREASING THE ELY WINDS TO 20 KT...THEN DECREASE LATE MON. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC... COLD FRONT FROM 29N65W TO 30N80W. THE FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY SAT THEN DISSIPATE SUN. NE WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 20 KT N OF THE FRONT. THE GFS DEVELOPS A LOW OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST MON AND DRIFTS IT NE THROUGH WED...HOWEVER OTHER MODELS DO NOT DEVELOP A LOW SO WILL NOT MENTION THE LOW IN THE FORECAST. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE FROM EASTERN CUBA TO 12N82W HAS WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS ALONG ITS AXIS. WAVE MOVES W ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AND W OF AREA SUN. LOW PRES FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N83W SAT THEN MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA SUN. COPIOUS RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES MAY OCCUR. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS