000 AGXX40 KNHC 150730 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING FROM SW FLORIDA NW TO 26N91W AND TO CENTRAL TEXAS WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH TUE MAINTAINING RATHER TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT DEPICTED BY LIGHT SW-W WINDS N OF THE RIDGE...AND LIGHT E-SE WINDS S OF THE RIDGE AS REPORTED BY BUOYS THROUGHOUT AND AS INDICATED IN AN ASCAT PASS FROM 0300 UTC THIS MORNING. BUOYS AND LATEST SEA STATE ANALYSIS SHOW THAT SEAS ARE IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE...WITH THE HIGHEST OF THE RANGE S OF THE RIDGE. SEAS OF 3-5 FT IN A SE SWELL ARE BEING REPORTED BY A COUPLE OF SHIPS IN THE NORTHERN YUCATAN CHANNEL EARLY THIS MORNING. SW N ATLC... PRELIMINARY 06 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE FAR NE PART OF THE AREA TO S FLORIDA...WHILE A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS DROPPING SWD FROM 31N67W TO 30N75W AND NW TO SE GEORGIA. SW-W WINDS IN THE RANGE OF 10-15 KT ARE EVIDENT N OF THE RIDGE...AND E-SE 10-15 KT WINDS EXIST S OF THE RIDGE. SEAS N OF THE RIDGE RANGE FROM 3-4 FT E OF 70W...AND 2-3 FT W OF 70W. S OF THE RIDGE...SEAS ARE 3-4 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS...AND 2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BECOME STATIONARY ALONG 29N TODAY THROUGH SUN AS THE RIDGE LIFTS SLIGHTLY NWD. STRONG HIGH PRES TO THE N OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PRESS SWD THROUGH SUN ALLOWING FOR NE-E WINDS OF 20 KT TO FILTER S INTO THE FAR NORTHERN BOUNDARY OF THE AREA E OF ABOUT 77W. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATE SUN INTO MON AS POSSIBLE LOW PRES FORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MODELS DIFFER ON THE LOCATION OF THE LOW PRES...BUT SUGGEST IT WILL BE IN THE NW PART OF THE AREA. THE RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED FROM NEAR CENTRAL FLORIDA TO 26N65W BY TUE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL CUBA S TO 12N81W MOVING WNW NEAR 20 KT. THE WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY THROUGH SAT...AND INLAND CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUN. LOW PRES IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N82W TONIGHT THEN MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA SAT AND SUN. COPIOUS RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES MAY OCCUR. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS 000 AGXX40 KNHC 150730 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING FROM SW FLORIDA NW TO 26N91W AND TO CENTRAL TEXAS WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH TUE MAINTAINING RATHER TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT DEPICTED BY LIGHT SW-W WINDS N OF THE RIDGE...AND LIGHT E-SE WINDS S OF THE RIDGE AS REPORTED BY BUOYS THROUGHOUT AND AS INDICATED IN AN ASCAT PASS FROM 0300 UTC THIS MORNING. BUOYS AND LATEST SEA STATE ANALYSIS SHOW THAT SEAS ARE IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE...WITH THE HIGHEST OF THE RANGE S OF THE RIDGE. SEAS OF 3-5 FT IN A SE SWELL ARE BEING REPORTED BY A COUPLE OF SHIPS IN THE NORTHERN YUCATAN CHANNEL EARLY THIS MORNING. SW N ATLC... PRELIMINARY 06 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE FAR NE PART OF THE AREA TO S FLORIDA...WHILE A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS DROPPING SWD FROM 31N67W TO 30N75W AND NW TO SE GEORGIA. SW-W WINDS IN THE RANGE OF 10-15 KT ARE EVIDENT N OF THE RIDGE...AND E-SE 10-15 KT WINDS EXIST S OF THE RIDGE. SEAS N OF THE RIDGE RANGE FROM 3-4 FT E OF 70W...AND 2-3 FT W OF 70W. S OF THE RIDGE...SEAS ARE 3-4 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS...AND 2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BECOME STATIONARY ALONG 29N TODAY THROUGH SUN AS THE RIDGE LIFTS SLIGHTLY NWD. STRONG HIGH PRES TO THE N OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PRESS SWD THROUGH SUN ALLOWING FOR NE-E WINDS OF 20 KT TO FILTER S INTO THE FAR NORTHERN BOUNDARY OF THE AREA E OF ABOUT 77W. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATE SUN INTO MON AS POSSIBLE LOW PRES FORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MODELS DIFFER ON THE LOCATION OF THE LOW PRES...BUT SUGGEST IT WILL BE IN THE NW PART OF THE AREA. THE RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED FROM NEAR CENTRAL FLORIDA TO 26N65W BY TUE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL CUBA S TO 12N81W MOVING WNW NEAR 20 KT. THE WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY THROUGH SAT...AND INLAND CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUN. LOW PRES IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N82W TONIGHT THEN MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA SAT AND SUN. COPIOUS RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES MAY OCCUR. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS