000 AGXX40 KNHC 141746 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES OVER NORTHERN GULF ALONG 27N THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE NE GULF WITH SEAS 1-2 FT WITH MOSTLY E-SE WINDS 10 TO OCCASIONALLY 15 KT ELSEWHERE. THE GFS DEVELOPS A LOW IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...BUT WILL KEEP CURRENT WORDING OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC... ATLC SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS ACROSS MOST OF SW N ATLC BASIN. RIDGE HOLDS ITS PLACE THROUGH LATE THU WHEN WEAK LOW PRES CENTER AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT DIP S TO 28N JUST E OF 73W. RIDGE REBUILDS BACK E AS FRONT MOVES N OF AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE FROM DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO 13B73W HAS WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS ALONG ITS AXIS. WAVE MOVES W INTO WESTERN CARIBBEAN FRI AND SAT AND W OF AREA SUN. PRESENT AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION S OF 13N W OF 75W IS RELATED TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. LOW PRES FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N83W FRI THEN MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA SAT AND SUN. COPIOUS RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES MAY OCCUR. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS 000 AGXX40 KNHC 141746 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES OVER NORTHERN GULF ALONG 27N THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE NE GULF WITH SEAS 1-2 FT WITH MOSTLY E-SE WINDS 10 TO OCCASIONALLY 15 KT ELSEWHERE. THE GFS DEVELOPS A LOW IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...BUT WILL KEEP CURRENT WORDING OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC... ATLC SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS ACROSS MOST OF SW N ATLC BASIN. RIDGE HOLDS ITS PLACE THROUGH LATE THU WHEN WEAK LOW PRES CENTER AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT DIP S TO 28N JUST E OF 73W. RIDGE REBUILDS BACK E AS FRONT MOVES N OF AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE FROM DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO 13B73W HAS WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS ALONG ITS AXIS. WAVE MOVES W INTO WESTERN CARIBBEAN FRI AND SAT AND W OF AREA SUN. PRESENT AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION S OF 13N W OF 75W IS RELATED TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. LOW PRES FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N83W FRI THEN MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA SAT AND SUN. COPIOUS RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES MAY OCCUR. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS