000 AGXX40 KNHC 131758 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A 1012 MB LOW PRES NEAR 19N96W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION S OF 22N W OF 95W. WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE ARE WITHIN 180 NM E AND 60 NM W OF THE LOW PRES CENTER. THE LOW WILL MOVE INLAND TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AND CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRES OVER NORTHERN GULF ALONG 27N. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN HALF OF GULF WITH SLIGHT SEAS 1-2 FT WHILE LIGHT TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS WITH SEAS 2-4 FT SOUTHERN HALF OF BASIN THROUGH MON. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC... ATLC SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES WITH FAVORABLE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS ACROSS MOST OF SW N ATLC BASIN. RIDGE HOLDS ITS PLACE THROUGH LATE THU WHEN WEAK LOW PRES CENTER AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT BRUSH NE CORNER OF AREA. RIDGE WEAKENS AND ALLOWS FRONT TO SCRAPE NE WITH MODERATE WESTERLIES JUST N OF 29N E OF 68W. BY SAT THE RIDGE REBUILDS BACK AND FRONT MOVES N OF AREA. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE 19N61W TO 11N64W HAS WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS ALONG ITS AXIS. WAVE MOVES W INTO CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU AND INTO WESTERN CARIBBEAN FRI AND SAT AND W OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. PRESENT AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION S OF 13N FROM 75W TO 78W IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRES CENTER 1010 MB OVER PANAMA. LOW PRES EXPECTED TO MOVE W INTO CENTRAL AMERICA S OF 15N OVER THE WEEKEND WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL OVER MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES MAY OCCUR. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS 000 AGXX40 KNHC 131758 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A 1012 MB LOW PRES NEAR 19N96W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION S OF 22N W OF 95W. WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE ARE WITHIN 180 NM E AND 60 NM W OF THE LOW PRES CENTER. THE LOW WILL MOVE INLAND TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AND CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRES OVER NORTHERN GULF ALONG 27N. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN HALF OF GULF WITH SLIGHT SEAS 1-2 FT WHILE LIGHT TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS WITH SEAS 2-4 FT SOUTHERN HALF OF BASIN THROUGH MON. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC... ATLC SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES WITH FAVORABLE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS ACROSS MOST OF SW N ATLC BASIN. RIDGE HOLDS ITS PLACE THROUGH LATE THU WHEN WEAK LOW PRES CENTER AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT BRUSH NE CORNER OF AREA. RIDGE WEAKENS AND ALLOWS FRONT TO SCRAPE NE WITH MODERATE WESTERLIES JUST N OF 29N E OF 68W. BY SAT THE RIDGE REBUILDS BACK AND FRONT MOVES N OF AREA. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE 19N61W TO 11N64W HAS WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS ALONG ITS AXIS. WAVE MOVES W INTO CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU AND INTO WESTERN CARIBBEAN FRI AND SAT AND W OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. PRESENT AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION S OF 13N FROM 75W TO 78W IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRES CENTER 1010 MB OVER PANAMA. LOW PRES EXPECTED TO MOVE W INTO CENTRAL AMERICA S OF 15N OVER THE WEEKEND WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL OVER MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES MAY OCCUR. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS