000 AGXX40 KNHC 230650 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2011 GULF OF MEXICO... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SE RETURN FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...MENTIONED BELOW IN THE CARIBBEAN SECTION...WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY. NE WINDS AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE GULF SUNDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO BE BULLISH WITH THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE IN THE SW GULF. SW N ATLC... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG 27N WILL SHIFT N TO NEAR 30N FRI NIGHT. IN GENERAL...MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE ARE FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER THE FAR S PART OF THE AREA WHERE FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A LOCALLY TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TODAY AND ENTER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN FRI. THE WESTWARD PROPAGATION WILL DECREASE WITH CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE WAVE MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN OVER THE WEEKEND. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUN NIGHT...THEN MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY. FRESH TO STRONG TRADEWINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC EARLY SUN...THE ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN EARLY MON. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL