000 AGXX40 KNHC 061812 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LINE OF SHOWERS STRETCHING FROM TAMPA FLORIDA TO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...THE RESULT OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE BETWEEN E-SE WINDS TO THE S AND E-NE WINDS TO THE N...ASSOCIATED WITH AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. HIGH PRES IN NORTHERN GULF IS SUPPORTING EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. SEAS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE OVER THE GULF AND ARE ANALYZED AT 3-4 FT OVER MOST OF THE WATERS. HIGH PRES WILL SHIFT TO THE NE GULF SAT AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH TUE AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE W GULF. SE WINDS RETURN TO THE WESTERN GULF SAT...AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EASTERN GULF AND THE MIDDLE GULF N OF 25N THROUGH MON. SEAS WILL REMAIN 1-3 FT OVER MOST OF THE GULF THROUGH SUN. SEAS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN THE WESTERN GULF SUN AND MON AS S-SE FLOW INTENSIFIES. SW N ATLC... OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS DISSIPATED E OF FLORIDA AND THE BAHAMAS. WINDS AND SEAS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS WEAK HIGH PRES SETTLES IN ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE N FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT AND EXTEND FROM 31N73W TO S FLORIDA SAT...FROM 30N65W TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS SUN...THEN DISSIPATE OVER EASTERN WATERS MON. S WINDS 15-20 KT WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT SAT...THEN SHIFT NW-N AT 10-15 KT BEHIND THE FRONT SUN. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP E ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS MON THROUGH TUE. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A SECONDARY SURGE OF WINDS GREATER THAN 20 KT AND SEAS 8-10 FT WILL SWEEP INTO THE NE PORTION TUE NIGHT. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC... HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH MONN...AT AROUND 20 KT AND 6-8 FT. HIGH PRES BUILDING NE OF THE AREA SAT THROUGH MON WILL INCREASE WINDS TO 20-25 KT OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. REMAINDER OF THE AREA CAN EXPECT LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES AND SEAS LESS THAN 5 FT. WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL