000
AGXX40 KNHC 280730
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HIGH PRES RIDGE IS RETREATING EASTWARD AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
THE NW GULF. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE TEXAS COAST LATER
THIS MORNING AND EXTEND FROM CENTRAL LOUISIANA TO THE WESTERN BAY
OF CAMPECHE BY THIS AFTERNOON. SE WINDS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE RIDGE ARE WELL ESTABLISHED ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF. BASED 
ON BUOY OBS AND ASCAT PASS AT 0335 UTC...15-20 KT WINDS COVER A 
LARGE PORTION OF THE AREA N OF 20N AND W OF 83W. THE FRONT WILL 
EXTEND FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE TUE 
THEN DISSIPATE WED. NLY WINDS WILL BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 20-30 KT 
IN BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF W OF 96W THIS AFTERNOON 
AND EVENING...THEN DIMINISH TUE MORNING...EXCEPT FOR AN AREA OF  
25-30 KT WINDS INDUCED BY FUNNELING EFFECTS IN THE EXTREME SW 
PART OF THE GULF...S OF 20N AND W OF 95W. HIGH PRES STRENGHTENS 
OFF THE E COAST THU AND FRI...ALLOWING ELY WINDS TO INCREASE TO 
20 KT OVER THE NE GULF THU NIGHT AND FRI.

SW N ATLC...
HIGH PRES RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO 
FRESH E TO SE TRADE WINDS IN SE PORTION OF THE AREA. SW WINDS 
WILL INCREASE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS TONIGHT AND TUE AS THE COLD 
FRONT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO APPROACHES THE AREA. STRONG NE WINDS 
NW OF THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TUE EVENING THROUGH WED MORNING. 
THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N75W TO NORTHERN FLORIDA TUE... 
FROM 30N65W TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS WED...WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH 
FROM 27N65W TO 24N64W TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS THU...THEN DISSIPATE 
FRI. HIGH PRES BUILDS NW OF THE AREA BEHIND THE TROUGH WITH E 
WINDS INCREASING 20-25 KT N OF 25N AND SEAS BUILDING TO 8-10 FT.

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W...
HIGH PRES NE OF THE AREA MAINTAINS FRESH TO STRONG TRADES FROM 
THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. 
HIGHEST WINDS ARE JUST NORTH OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. LITTLE 
CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO THIS PATTERN THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS AND 
SEAS WILL DIMINISH TUE THROUGH THU AS THE PRES GRADIENT RELAXES 
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS CONFINED TO NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. 
SEAS UP TO 13-14 FT OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TONIGHT AND MON. 
SEAS WILL STEADILY SUBSIDE AFTER TUE...TO AROUND 4-6 FT BY THU 
AND FRI.

WARNINGS..

ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL