000 AGXX40 KNHC 131732 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1235 PM EST SUN FEB 13 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 28N93W WILL SHIFT E REACHING JUST S OF THE MS DELTA TONIGHT...THEN MEANDER THROUGH TUE. THE HIGH THEN SHIFTS NE TUE NIGHT TURNING NE ACROSS S CAROLINA WED WITH ITS RIDGE EXTENDING SW AND DISSECTING THE GULF FROM NW FLORIDA TO NE MEXICO THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK. NLY WINDS CONTINUE AT 15-20 KT OVER WATERS S OF 25N E OF 92W EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT EXPECT THESE WINDS TO DIMINISH TO 15 KT LATE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE N OF 25N AROUND THE HIGH PRES CENTER THROUGH EARLY TUE...THEN INCREASE IN THE SLY RETURN FLOW NW OF RIDGE AXIS OVER NW WATERS DURING MID WEEK PULSING TO 15-20 KT ALONG NE MEXICO AND E TX COAST BEGINNING ON TUE NIGHT WITH SEAS BUILDING TO ABOUT 7 FT IN THIS AREA THU INTO FRI. SW N ATLC W OF 55W... A RIDGE IS BUILDING E ACROSS FL INTO THE NW WATERS ALONG 29N. THE EASTERN EDGE OF A BROAD FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM 31N55W TO CENTRAL CUBA AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SE BUT SLOW DOWN MON. A BAND OF NE WINDS AT 20 KT ARE NOTED WITHIN 360 NM W OF THE ANALYZED LEADING EDGE WITH SEAS TO 9 FT OVER ATLC WATERS NE OF THE BAHAMIAN CHAIN. AS THE FRONT SLOWS MON THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15 KT BUT SEAS CONTINUE TO 10 FT WATERS NE OF BAHAMAS IN THE N SWELL. BY THEN WLY WINDS N OF RIDGE WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 KT IN ADVANCE OF SECOND DRIER COLD FRONT MOVING OFF GA COAST AROUND SUNSET MON. THIS SECOND FRONT WILL RACE SE...MERGING WITH REMNANTS OF THE INITIAL FRONT AROUND SUNSET TUE...WITH THE MERGED FRONT WASHING OUT FROM 23N55W TO E HISPANIOLA LATE IN THE WEEK. NLY WINDS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 15-20 KT RANGE BEHIND THE SECOND FRONT...QUICKLY CLOCKING TO E-SE AND DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OVER THE NW WATERS WED-THU. NE WINDS 15-20 KT CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN WATERS BEHIND THE SECOND FRONT WITH HIGHEST SEAS OF 14 FT IN N SWELL OVER WATERS S OF BERMUDA ON WED. A RIDGE WILL EXTEND E-W FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO NE FL FRI WITH NE WINDS AT 15-20 KT WATERS S OF 23N E OF THE BAHAMAS ACCOMPANIED BY 8-11 FT SEAS IN THE N SWELL. .CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC WATERS... A BROAD FRONTAL TROUGH IS WASHING OUT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND WILL IS DROPPED FROM THE TEXT FORECASTS LATE TONIGHT. THE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED TO N-NE 20-25 KT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND GENERALLY NE-E 15-20 KT ELSEWHERE EXCEPT LOCALLY ENHANCED TO 25 KT ALONG NW COLOMBIA. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO NE-E 15-20 KT THROUGHOUT TUE AND TUE NIGHT...AND 10-15 KT FROM LATE WED THROUGH FRI...BUT STILL SLIGHTLY HIGHER ALONG COLOMBIA. E WINDS 15-20 KT TROPICAL ATLC WATERS WITH SEAS 8-13 FT IN MIXED N AND E SWELL WITH THESE CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH TUE. GRADIENT WILL RELAX WED-THU WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 9 FT E OF THE WINDWARDS...BUT NE-E WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT WITH SEAS 8-12 FT IN N SWELL OVER THE WATERS NE OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS WED NIGHT-FRI. WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON