000
AGXX40 KNHC 041926
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
245 PM EST FRI FEB 04 2011

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 29N83W TO 29N90W TO 
25N92W TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 19N92W. BASED ON FEW SHIP 
OBSERVATIONS...WINDS INCREASED BRIEFLY TO GALE FORCE OVER THE 
FAR W GULF THIS MORNING. A WEAK 1013 MB LOW PRES HAS DEVELOPED 
ALONG THE FRONT NEAR 28N89W. THE LOW PRES WILL ACCELERATE NE OF 
AREA TONIGHT DRAGGING THE FRONT E AS A COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT 
WILL APPROACH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL SAT NIGHT...THEN STALL AND 
MOVE N OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH SUN WHILE DISSIPATING. 
HIGH PRES WILL SHIFT E ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS IN THE 
WAKE OF THE FRONT. THEN...SLY RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE 
WESTERN GULF LATE SAT...AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT FORECAST TO 
MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST SUN EVENING. THIS SECOND FRONT IS 
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MON AND SHIFT 
E OF THE AREA BY MON NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD 
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. NW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT AND 
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF 8 TO 11 FT CAN BE FOUND BEHIND THE 
FRONT. A THIRD COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS BY 
WED REACHING FROM SE LOUISIANA TO NEAR TUXPAN MEXICO WED EVENING.
FRESH TO STRONG NLY WINDS AND SEAS UP TO 12 FT WILL FOLLOW THE 
FRONT.

SW N ATLC...
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS THE FAR N PART OF 
THE AREA WILL SHIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THE 
REMAINDER OF THE REGION IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE. A 
BELT OF NE WINDS OF 20 KT WILL PERSIST ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY 
OF THE RIDGE OVER THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NW 
PORTION SAT WITH FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THEN 
STALLING AND DISSIPATING FROM 31N72W TO THE NW BAHAMAS SUN. A 
SECOND AND STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE FLORIDA COAST 
EARLY MON EXTENDING FROM 31N76W TO WESTERN CUBA MON EVENING AND 
FROM 29N65W TO E CUBA TUE EVENING. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED BEHIND THIS FRONT. FOR NOW...THE FORECAST SHOWS 
INCREASING WINDS UP TO 30 KT W OF FRONT BY MON. 

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADE 
WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE 
FORECAST PERIOD. THE 1114 UTC WINDSAT PASS SHOWED GALE FORCE 
WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA PARTICULARLY 
FROM 10 TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W. A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN 
ISSUED AND IS FORECAST TO EXPIRE THIS EVENING. WINDS OF 25 TO 30 
KT ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA OVER THE 
WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL SAT 
NIGHT...THEN STALL AND MOVE N OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH 
SUN WHILE DISSIPATING. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW 
CARIBBEAN MON...REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS LATE 
MON WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE THROUGH TUE.

WARNINGS..

ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ080...GALE WARNING S OF 28N W OF 95W. 
.GMZ082...GALE WARNING N OF 22N W OF 95W.
.AMZ084...GALE WARNING FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER GR