000 AGXX40 KNHC 040641 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 140 AM EST FRI FEB 04 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA TO THE CENTRAL GULF...THEN CONTINUES AS A STATIONARY FRONT TO THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. LATEST BUOY AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE FRESH N TO NE WINDS WEST OF THE FRONT AND MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE WINDS E OF THE FRONT. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR 27N88W TODAY WITH REINFORCING COLD FRONT EXTENDING TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND WARM FRONT EXTENDING TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. WINDS WILL INCREASE BRIEFLY TO GALE FORCE OVER THE FAR W GULF THIS MORNING AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS. THIS LOW CENTER WILL RAPIDLY SHIFT NE INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA TONIGHT. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF LATE FRI INTO SAT...AND JUST E OF THE GULF LATE SAT WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE. WEAK HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. SE RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF LATE SAT...AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST LATE SUN. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH MON...THEN SHIFT E OF THE AREA BY MON NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. SW N ATLC... A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR NW PART OF THE AREA. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT NORTH OF THE AREA AS A WARM FRONT TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE FLORIDA COAST SAT WITH FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE N PART OF THE AREA THROUGH SUN BEFORE STALLING FROM 31N74W TO THE N BAHAMAS AND DISSIPATING THROUGH MON. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE FLORIDA COAST ON EARLY MON. THIS WILL BE A STRONGER FRONT THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS E OF THE FRONT...AND NEAR GALE WINDS W OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N67W TO E CUBA EARLY TUE...THEN FROM 26N65W TO E CUBA LATE TUE. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE SAT...THEN STALL AND DISSIPATE OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN MON EVENING REACHING FROM E CUBA TO E HONDURAS EARLY TUE BEFORE STALLING AND DISSIPATING WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ080...GALE WARNING S OF 28N W OF 95W. .GMZ082...GALE WARNING N OF 22N W OF 95W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL