000 AGXX40 KNHC 031919 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 245 PM EST THU FEB 03 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM TAMPA BAY FLORIDA TO THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. LATEST BUOY AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE FRESH N TO NE WINDS WEST OF THE FRONT AND LIGHT TO GENTLE E TO SE WINDS E OF THE FRONT. A LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR 25N92W ON FRI WITH COLD FRONT EXTENDING TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND WARM FRONT EXTENDING TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE W OF THE FRONT AS LOW PRES DEEPENS. THIS LOW CENTER WILL RAPIDLY SHIFT NE INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA FRI NIGHT. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF LATE FRI INTO SAT...AND TO E OF THE GULF LATE SAT. WEAK HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST LATE SUN. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST OVER THE WESTERN GULF FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS. SW N ATLC... A STALLED COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR NW PART OF THE AREA. A 1024 MB HIGH IS NEAR FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THEN WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY S ON SAT AS A SECOND COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE FLORIDA COAST. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE N PART OF THE AREA THROUGH SUN BEFORE STALLING FROM 31N71W TO THE N BAHAMAS AND DISSIPATING THROUGH MON. A THIRD COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE FLORIDA COAST ON EARLY MON AND EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO THE NW BAHAMAS LATE MON. A BELT ON NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT WILL PERSIST S OF 22N AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED HIGH PRES. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A RECENT WINDSAT PASS AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW NE WINDS IN THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE SAT...THEN STALL AND DISSIPATE OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. NE WINDS OF 20 KT ARE NOTED OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC N OF 13 FT PER AN EARLIER WINDSAT PASS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS E OF THE AREA ALONG 53W FROM 12N TO 18W. THIS TROUGH IS FORECAST TO REACH THE AREA TONIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT BY SUN AS THE ATLC RIDGE EXTENDS WWD AND STRENGTHENS. WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ080...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 28N W OF 95W FRI. .GMZ082...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 22N W OF 95W FRI. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER GR