000 AGXX40 KNHC 200828 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 330 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES SE TEXAS COAST LATE TODAY WITH SLY RETURN FLOW BECOMING STRONG NW WINDS LATE TODAY AND AT GALE FORCE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI. GUIDANCE APPEARS CONSISTENT IN TIMING AND STRENGTH EXCEPT ECMWF WHICH DROPS GALE AND VEERS WINDS E AHEAD OF THE OTHERS. NAM AND GFS SOLUTION DEVELOP LOW PRES 1012 MB IN CENTRAL GULF FRI AND STEERS IT NE ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS N FLORIDA INTO SW N ATLC. MODERATE TO FRESH N-NE BREEZE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT ENTIRE BASIN SAT VEERING E-SE SUN AHEAD OF SECOND...NOT AS STRONG...COLD FRONT ENTERING WRN GULF WATERS SUN NIGHT. STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE N WINDS BEHIND SECOND FRONT. SW N ATLC... COLD FRONT FROM BERMUDA TO SE FL TODAY STALLS S OF 26N WITH TAIL SECTION W OF 75W LIFTING N AS WARM FRONT AS SECOND COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM GULF OF MEXICO. SECOND COLD FRONT ENTERS NW CORNER FRI AND MOVES SWIFTLY E ACROSS BASIN WITH STRONG NW WINDS N OF 25N. HIGH PRES CENTER QUICKLY BUILDS OVER WATERS JUST N OF 31N WITH MODERATE TO FRESH N-NE WINDS E OF 75W AND MODERATE SE FLOW W OF 75W. TROPICAL N ATLC... PRESENT STRONG E WINDS DIMINISH TO A FRESH NE-E BREEZE THROUGH SAT. HIGH PRES BUILDS N OF AREA LATE SAT AND SUN INCREASING WINDS SPEED AND FETCH ACROSS TROPICAL ATLC BUILDING SEAS UP TO 11 FT BY LATE MON. CARIBBEAN... FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY AND TONIGHT DIMINISH AS HIGH PRES IS FORCED E BY SW N ATLC COLD FRONT. COLD FRONT ENTER NW CARIBBEAN SAT INCREASING TO STRONG NE BREEZE ACROSS YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE SAT. LOW PRES OVER WRN COLOMBIA INTENSIFIES WITH TIGHTENING PRES GRADIENT INCREASING TRADES LATE SUN AND MON. WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .GALE WARNING 23N-25N W OF 95W TONIGHT AND S OF 24N W OF 94W FRI ...GMZO82. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES