000
AGXX40 KNHC 060806
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
310 AM EST THU JAN 06 2011

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
COLD FRONT OVER NE GULF FROM 30N84W TO 24N96W MOVES SE OF BASIN 
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRES CENTER 1019 MB BUILDS OVER MID GULF.  RIDGE 
BRINGS SURGE OF COLD AIR INTO WHICH REINFORCE WINDS OVER EASTERN 
GULF ZONE AND OVER FLORIDA.  FRESH SE BREEZE ESTABLISHES RETURN 
FLOW OVER EXTREME WESTERN PART OF GULF AS MODEL GUIDANCE POINT 
TO LOW PRES DEVELOPING OVER TEXAS.  SOLUTION TO LOW PRES HIGHLY 
UNCERTAIN AS MODELS DIVERGE IN POSITION AND INTENSITY ALTHOUGH 
ECMWF AND GFS PLACE ITS WINDS AT GALE FORCE...BUT APPEAR TOO FAR 
S FROM UKMET AND NAM.  FORECAST HOLDS ON WINDS REACHING GALE 
FORCE BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH. 
 
SW N ATLC...
COLD FRONT MOVES OFF N FLORIDA COAST AND REACH FROM 31N72W TO 
SOUTH FLORIDA LATE THU WITH STRONG NW WINDS W OF BOUNDARY 
INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE BY FRI. E OF 
FRONT SW WINDS EXPECTED TO REACH GALE FORCE BRIEFLY N OF 28N FRI 
AND DIMINISH BY FRI NIGHT.  STRONG WESTERLY WINDS EXTEND OVER 
MOST BASIN WATERS N OF 24N.  REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVES EWD N 
OF 27N AND KEEPS WLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT GOING INTO SAT.  HIGH 
PRES BUILD UP LAST BARELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS LOW PRES THAT 
FORMED OVER GULF OF MEXICO MOVES ACROSS SRN GEORGIA WITH STRONG 
SE TO S WINDS N OF 25N W OF 75W.  

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
HIGH PRES N OF AREA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE 
ACROSS MUCH OF CARIBBEAN SEA.  WINDS DIMINISH OVER BASIN THROUGH 
EARLY THU.  COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH GULF OF MEXICO THU REACH 
NW CARIBBEAN EARLY FRI AND MOVE TO PUERTO RICO BY SUN. 

WARNINGS..

ATLC...
.GALE WARNING N OF 29N E OF 72W...AMZ080.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES