000 AGXX40 KNHC 011917 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 PM EST SAT JAN 01 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... STRONG SE TO S WINDS AHEAD OF WRN GULF COLD FRONT HAS DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY SINCE EARLY MORNING...WITH FLOW OFF THE LOUISIANA COAST HAVING SHIFTED S-SW. SUPPORTING TROUGH EXITING THE ROCKIES AND MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL LIFT OUT LEAVING UPPER RIDGING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND SWLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE GULF. THIS WILL STRING OUT THE FRONT AND PRODUCE A MODEST E MOTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH THE SRN PORTIONS BECOMING ANCHORED IN THE CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG 94W BY 24 HOURS. RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT...AS THE FRONT MOVES FROM SE LOUISIANA TO 21N97W THIS AFTERNOON TO FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 18N94W SUN MORNING...THEN WEAKENS AS IT REACHES FROM JUST S OF TAMPA BAY TO 23N96W THEN S TO 18N94W MON MORNING. MODELS FORECAST THIS WAVE ALONG THE FRONT AT 23N96W TO LIFT N-NE MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE MORNING AND INLAND ACROSS SE TEXAS AND SW LOUISIANA.N TO N-NE WINDS 20-25 KT WILL SPREAD S BEHIND THE FRONT LIKELY INCREASING NEAR THE COAST TO 30 KT S OF 21N...AND BUILDING SEAS 8 TO 10 FT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY LATE SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON AS HIGH BEHIND THE FRONT SHIFTS NE TO THE MID ATLC STATES....THEN DROP OFF BELOW 20 KT BY MON EVENING. WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 23N WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH FRI BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONT BLASTS S INTO THE BASIN FRI. SW N ATLC... 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED JUST N OF BERMUDA WITH BROAD RIDGE ACROSS THE AREA. REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONT CAN BE SEEN IN BROKEN CU FIELD SINKING SW S OF 20N AND INTO THE GREATER ANTILLES...FORCED BY 20-25 KT NELY WINDS JUST N OF THE OLD BOUNDARY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH SUN MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO SINK SLOWLY S SUN...THEN WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS FARTHER SW AND COLLAPSES NEAR 26N74W MON AFTERNOON. GRADIENT WINDS WILL REMAIN FRESH S OF 23N AND THROUGH THE BAHAMAS THROUGH SUN NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING MON. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE SE U.S. COAST SUN NIGHT AND ACROSS NW PORTIONS MON. NW TO W WINDS AROUND 20 KT WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT AND GENERALLY N OF 29-30N. ANOTHER COLD WILL MOVE ACROSS THE N PORTION OF THE AREA WED EXTENDING FROM 31N70W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WED AFTERNOON. SW WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT N OF 29N E OF THE FRONT. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... BERMUDA HIGH PRODUCING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ACROSS ALL BUT FAR W AND NW PORTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN...AND N OF A SHEAR LINE ACROSS S CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC. SEAS REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THESE AREAS AT 8-11 FT AND HIGHER IN THE SW CARIB DOWNWIND OF COLOMBIAN WIND MAX NEAR 30 KT. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED IN THESE CONDITIONS THROUGH SUN EVENING BEFORE WINDS BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DUE TO WEAKENING HIGH AND PRES GRADIENT. A NARROW ZONE OF 20-25 KT NELY WINDS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MON ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC WATERS N OF THE OLD FRONTAL ZONE AS IT SINKS FARTHER S AND DISSIPATES. NWLY SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT REGIONAL ATLC WATERS AND MIX WITH NE WIND SWELL. WWIII ONCE AGAIN TOO HIGH BUT A FEW FEET S OF 22N BETWEEN 50W AND 65W...WITH TOO MUCH NWLY SWELL ENERGY FORECAST INTO THE REGION. FRESH FLOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SW CARIB THROUGH WED MORNING..WHILE DECREASING ELSEWHERE...THEN DIMINISH ENTIRE AREA WED THROUGH THU. WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER STRIPLING