000 AGXX40 KNHC 031826 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 PM EST FRI DEC 3 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... SUNRISE OBSERVATIONS STILL HAD N-NE 15-20 KT OVER THE SE GULF WATERS SO RE-INTRODUCED THESE CONDITIONS FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS INTO THIS MORNINGS TEXT PACKAGE. AS HIGH PRES OVER THE NW ZONE SHIFTS A LITTLE SE THE SLY FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE W PORTION...BUT MAY ONLY PULSE TO 15 KT DURING DAYLIGHT SAT. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL BE ORIENTATED NEARLY E-W AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF SAT NIGHT AND EXTEND FROM S FL TO S TX LATE SUN....THEN MOVE S INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT TRAILING A TROUGH NW ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND ALONG THE TX COAST THROUGH TUE. THEN WED THE COLD SURGE ARRIVES AND PUSHES THE FRONTAL REMNANTS SE AGAIN...BUT I DO NOT HAVE TOO MUCH CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING FOR LATE TUE AND WED AS YET. CARIBBEAN... A FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. NLY WINDS 20-25 KT W OF THE FRONT SHOULD DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT LATE TONIGHT WILL SIMILAR CONDITIONS COVERING THE ENTIRE NW ZONES TILL EARLY SUN. THE N FLOW WILL BACK OFF SUN AND MON TO 10-15 KT THEN REINFORCED TO 15-20 KT BEHIND THE NEXT COLD FRONT MON NIGHT AND TUE...RELAXING TO NE 10-15 KT WED. FURTHER S...LOW PRES PERSISTS OVER/NEAR PANAMA WITH GUIDANCE HANGING ONTO A WEAK TROUGH OVER...OR JUST S OF PANAMA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. GENERALLY EXPECT NE WINDS AT 15-20 KT TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE SW AND E CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON THEN AS FRONT RACES INTO AREA EXPECT A NE-E WIND WIND TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT OVER WATERS S OF HISPANIOLA MON NIGHT THROUGH WED. TROPICAL ATLC S OF 22N BETWEEN 55W-65W... A FRONTAL TROUGH IS DECAYING OVER THE WATERS N OF 19N E OF 60W. ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE N OF 18N SEAS ARE 8-12 FT IN LARGE N SWELL WHICH WILL SUBSIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE NW CORNER AT 22N65W LATE TONIGHT...THEN WILL STALL AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE WATERS N OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH SAT NIGHT. NE WINDS 10-15 KT EXPECTED S OF 18N TONIGHT AND BEHIND FRONT OVER WATERS N OF 18N SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON. ANOTHER ROUND OF N SWELLS ARRIVE N PART EARLY MON REACHING THE NE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES LATE MON. A RIDGE WILL DISSECT N PART FROM NE-SW MON NIGHT AND TUE...RETRACTING E WED AS NEXT FRONT MOVES INTO NW CORNER AND STALLS. SW N ATLC W OF 65W... A COLD FRONT IS SLOWING FROM 27N65W TO E CUBA. W-NW WINDS 15-20 KT NOTED BEHIND FRONT WILL DIMINISH FROM W TONIGHT BUT INCREASE TO 20-25 KT OVER WATERS S OF BERMUDA LATE SAT. A SECOND DRY FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SAT NIGHT REACHING FROM BERMUDA TO SE FLORIDA LATE SUN...FROM 27N65W TO HISPANIOLA MON MORNING...THEN WEAKEN FROM 25N65W TO HISPANIOLA LATE TUE...DISSIPATING OVER AREA N OF HISPANIOLA WED. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT EXCEPT TO MINIMAL GALE OVER AREA N OF 28N E OF 78W EARLY SUN WITH CONDITIONS DIMINISHING E OF 68W MON NIGHT. NW FLOW GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM W TUE NIGHT AND WED. WARNINGS... ATLC... .AMZ080...GALE WARNING EXPECTED SUN N OF 28N E OF 78W... CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON