000 AGXX40 KNHC 281812 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 115 PM EST SUN NOV 28 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A BROAD FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE E CENTRAL WATERS CONTINUES SW INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE PORTION E OF 92W IS LIFTING N AS THE LOW LEVEL WINDS CLOCKING TO THE SE. THE SW PORTION IS STILL EXPECTED TOP PERSIST IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT WITH WHATEVER REMAINS MOVING INLAND MEXICO EARLY MON. THE SLY RETURN FLOW WILL CONTINUE TILL THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE TX MON EVENING. NLY GALE WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NW GULF ZONE EARLY TUE MORNING AND ENDING BY LATE TUE...WHILE THE GALE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN MID MORNING TUE OVER THE SW GULF ZONE AND PERSIST IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FINALLY DIMINISHING BELOW GALE JUST BEFORE SUNRISE WED. HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER THE LA COASTAL PLAINS THU INTO FRI WITH A RIDGE SW ALONG THE TX COASTAL PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN A NE FLOW AT 10-15 KT OVER THE GULF WATERS EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NW WATERS WHERE LIGHT SE WINDS SET AS EARLY AS THU MORNING. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... HIGH PRES CENTERED SE OF BERMUDA MAINTAINS TIGHT PRES GRADIENT TODAY ACROSS CARIBBEAN BASIN E OF ABOUT 80W WITH THE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...THEN RELAX SOME WED THROUGH FRI. ANOTHER ROUND OF LARGE SWELLS WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NE REACHING ALONG 22N BETWEEN 55W-65W TUE NIGHT AND SEEPING INTO THE NE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES WED...THEN SUBSIDING FROM THE N THU. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO YUCATAN CHANNEL WED MORNING AND STALL FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO GULF OF HONDURAS THU GRADUALLY DISSIPATING THROUGH FRI. GFS GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE HAVING SOME DIFFICULTY HANDLING THE WIND SHIFT WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THIS FRONT AS THE MODEL IS ALSO BUILDING A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN THU AND FRI. ONLY EXPECT A TROUGH TO EXTEND FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN ACROSS COSTA RICA INTO THE PACIFIC LATE THIS WEEK. TONED DOWN 12Z EXPERIMENTAL GRID PACKAGE AND MADE MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS TO MARINE FAX GRAPHICS. SW N ATLC... A COLD FRONT IS SLOWING FROM JUST SE OF BERMUDA TO SE FL. THE PORTION W OF 75W SEEMS TO BE STALLING AND MAY DRIFT A TAD N TONIGHT AND MON AS IT DISSIPATES. THE FRONTAL PORTION E OF THE BAHAMAS WILL WEAKEN WITH THE REMNANTS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING S EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT PUSHING A NEW ROUND OF NE SWELLS INTO THE WATERS E OF 70W TUE AND E OF 75W WED. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE GA COAST WED MORNING...ABOUT 9-12 HOURS LATER THAN YESTERDAYS GUIDANCE SUGGESTED. THIS SECOND STRONGER FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH BERMUDA AND THE NW BAHAMAS THU MORNING THEN DISSIPATE FRI. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ080...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE. .GMZ082...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE AND TUE NIGHT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON