000 AGXX40 KNHC 160628 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A STATIONARY EXTENDS FRONT FROM MS DELTA TO SE TX WITH S-SW WINDS AT 20-25 KT OVER MOST OF THE W GULF TO THE E OF FRONT WHILE WINDS 5-10 KT ARE OBSERVED NW OF FRONT AT THE MOMENT. THE NEXT SHORT WAVE...ROTATING AROUND UPPER CYCLONE OVER CENTRAL CONUS...WILL INCREASE NW WINDS TO 15 TO 20 KT TODAY AND PUSH FRONT E AGAIN REACHING PSN FROM NW FL TO NW YUCATAN PENINSULA AT SUNSET. SURFACE WINDS W OF FRONT WILL QUICKLY VEER TO N AND NE AND DIMINISH ALLOWING FRONT TO STALL FROM SE GULF ACROSS YUCATAN PENINSULA TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE ON WED. A SECOND DRY COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE NW GULF LATE WED INCREASING N WINDS TO 15-20 KT ENTIRE GULF WATERS THU WITH WINDS VEERING TO NE TO E AND DIMINISHING LATE FRI. SE RETURN FLOW SETS UP NW WATERS SAT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROP ATLC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 55W... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ANALYZED AS A 1010 MB LOW PRES NEAR 13N78W. EXPECT THE LOW PRES CENTER TO DRIFT NW AND WEAKEN TO AN OPEN TROUGH MEANDERING OVER THE W CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED THROUGH THU. CARIBBEAN ELSEWHERE W OF 65W EXPERIENCING E-SE WINDS 10-15 KT WHILE NE TO E TRADES ARE NOTED E OF 65W. COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SE GULF AND NORTHERN YUCATAN CHANNEL WED...THEN PUSH SE INTO FAR NW CARIBBEAN WATERS WED AS NE WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT NW OF THE FRONT THU AND FURTHER INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT THU NIGHT. BY FRI NE WINDS WILL DOMINATE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC WATERS AS COLD FRONT STALLS OVER ATLC WATERS N OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND TRAILS W OVER THE N CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SW N ATLC S OF 31N AND W OF 65W... A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO FL STRAITS ATTM. SLY WINDS NW OF RIDGE CURRENTLY IN 10-15 KT RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE 15-20 KT FAR NW WATERS TODAY AS SURFACE FRONT TEMPORALLY STALLED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF BEGINS TO MOVE E AND OFF THE GA COAST EARLY WED. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE E TO ALONG PSN 31N68W TO NW BAHAMAS THU...AND FROM 31N59W TO N CENTRAL CUBA FRI WITH NE WINDS AT 15-20 KT ALL WATERS W OF 65W AND 20-25 KT ATLC WATERS N OF FRONT BETWEEN 65W AND 55W. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON