000 AGXX40 KNHC 101818 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 PM EST WED NOV 10 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES OVER THE SE CONUS IS IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE GULF. THE HIGH WILL MOVE NORTHEAST KEEPING A RIDGE OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUN. SE RETURN FLOW IN THE NW GULF HAS INCREASED TO 20 KT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST SAT MORNING AND EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS SAT EVENING BEFORE RETREATING NW AND MOVING INLAND AGAIN BY LATE SUN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST INTO THE NW WATERS LATE SUN INTO MON. WINDS ARE ALSO FORECAST TO INCREASE UP TO 20 KT ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF THU NIGHT AND FRI AS PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN RIDGE AND A DEEP LAYER LOW OVER THE WESTERN ATLC. MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE WILL DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF REGION. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A 1007 MB LOW PRES IS OVER THE MONA PASSAGE. A FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO THE ABC ISLANDS. A STATIONARY FRONT ALSO STRETCHES FROM THE LOW NEWD ACROSS THE ATLC TO 31N51W. NE WINDS OF 20 KT ARE NOTED ACROSS THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 17N AND E OF 83W DUE TO THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW PRES AND A RIDGE THAT COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NW CARIBBEAN. THE LOW PRES IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NE ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT. THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC N OF 17N THROUGH SAT BEFORE DISSIPATING. MEANWHILE...A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 53W S OF 13N WILL MOVE INTO THE CARIBBEAN THU...CROSS 70W FRI AND MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN OVER THE WEEKEND. N TO NE SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED DEEP LAYER LOW PRES OVER THE WESTERN ATLC WILL AFFECT THE ATLC PASSAGES THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD RAISING SEAS UP TO 9 FT SAT AND 9 TO 12 FT SAT NIGHT AND SUN PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE. SW N ATLC... AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS ALONG WITH SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOWED NE WINDS OF 20 KT BEHIND A COLD FRONT CLIPPING THE FAR NE PORTION OF THE AREA AND S OF 22N E OF 72W JUST NEAR THE LOW PRES OVER THE MONA PASSAGE AND THE STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO 20N65W. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF AREA THU NIGHT INTO FRI. SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP LAYER LOW OFF THE MID ATLC U.S. COAST WILL SPREAD INTO THE WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS THU THROUGH SUN BRINGING SEAS ABOVE 12 FT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA BY THE WEEKEND. COMPUTER MODELS KEEP THE LOW CENTER NE OF AREA. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER GR