000
AGXX40 KNHC 160556
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

A 1021 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF OF MEXICO SE OF 
GALVESTON BAY NEAR 28N94W. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT E ACROSS THE DEEP 
SOUTH STATES AND NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SUN. WEAK PRES PATTERN 
ACROSS THE GULF WITH LIGHT WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT 
FOR NE WINDS TO 15 KT OVER THE SE GULF. THE PRES GRADIENT 
BECOMES ALMOST NONE EXISTENT BY TUE AND WED WITH 5 KT ACROSS THE 
ENTIRE AREA.

THE REMNANT LOW OF PAULA IS OVER N COAST OF CUBA NEAR 22N78W.
THE LOW SHOULD DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING. A WEAK COLD FRONT 
EXTENDS FROM 30N65W TO THE REMNANT LOW OF PAULA. W-NW WINDS W OF 
THE FRONT N OF 29N E OF 70W WILL DECREASE TO BELOW 20 KT BY SUN 
AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 28N65 TO 23N75W THIS 
AFTERNOON AND FROM 25N65W TO EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATE 
SUN. HIGH PRES BUILDS TO THE N WITH LIGHT 5-10 KT WINDS N OF 25N 
AND ELY WINDS 15-20 KT S OF 25 KT. LARGE NLY SWELL WILL MOVE 
ACROSS THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA TONIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TUE.

THE MAIN AREA TO WATCH IS THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN WHERE CONVECTION 
CONTINUES TO FLARE ALONG THE COASTS OF WESTERN PANAMA AND COSTA 
RICA TO THE W SIDE OF A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 15N77W TO 
10N79W. NLY WINDS TO 20 KT ARE S OF 15N W OF 81W WILL DIMINISH 
LATER TODAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON THE ULTIMATE 
DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRES IN THIS AREA...WITH THE GFS BEING THE 
STRONGEST. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRENDS.

WARNINGS...

ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.
  
GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DGS