000 AGXX40 KNHC 300703 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF THROUGH SATURDAY. AFTER SATURDAY...THE FORECAST BECOMES A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN. MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT A ANOTHER AREA OF BROAD LOW PRESSURE FORMING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY SAT...AND MOVING INTO THE SW N ATLC. IF THIS SOLUTION IS CORRECT...FRESH TO STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF SUN THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A TROUGH WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI...THEN SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THIS WEEKEND. THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE FORMATION OF A LOW IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY SAT...THEN MOVING INTO THE SW N ATLC SUN. IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...MODERATE TRADES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. A WIND SURGE PRECEDING A TROPICAL WAVE WILL PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE N PART OF THE AREA FRI. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC THIS WEEKEND. SW N ATLC... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH TO LESS THAN GALE FORCE BY THIS EVENING. UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS OVER THE SECOND HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRES DEVELOPING OVER THE CARIBBEAN...AND MOVING INTO THE SW N ATLC SUN. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .AMZ080...GALE WARNING BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL