000 AGXX40 KNHC 290645 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 245 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DEPENDING ON THE TIMING/STRENGTH OF THE NEXT FORECAST LOW OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...WINDS MAY INCREASE OVER THE GULF THIS WEEKEND. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... TD 16 IN THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA BY THE MORNING HOURS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AS IT MOVES FURTHER N OF THE AREA. THOUGH THERE REMAINS SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY...A SECOND LOW MAY FORM OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN LATE FRI/EARLY SAT. MODERATE TRADES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH LATE THU NIGHT. A WIND SURGE PRECEDING A TROPICAL WAVE WILL PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE N PART OF THE AREA FRI. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC LATE FRI/EARLY SAT. SW N ATLC... TD 16 IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND SE FLORIDA THIS MORNING AS IT INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM...THEN ACCELERATE NNE OVER THE FAR W PART OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN N OF THE AREA THU MORNING. THOUGH A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS...ANOTHER LOW MAY FORM OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THIS WEEKEND. IF IT DOES FORM IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .AMZ080...TS WARNING W OF 75W. CARIBBEAN... .AMZ082...TS WARNING N OF 19N BETWEEN 77W AND 82W. TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL