000 AGXX40 KNHC 270723 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 323 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A COLD FRONT JUST MOVING OFF THE TEXAS COAST WILL EXTEND FROM THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SW TO NORTHERN MEXICO THIS MORNING...THEN FROM N CENTRAL FLORIDA TO THE WRN BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG 94W TUE MORNING WHERE IT WILL STALL...GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MEANDER THROUGH THU. SEE BELOW. FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE WINDS WILL BE FOUND BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH WILL INCREASE SEAS TO 8 TO 9 FT OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TUE NIGHT...THEN SUBSIDE THROUGH THU. UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST WITH POSSIBLE LOW PRES THAT IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NW OR W CARIBBEAN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS E ACROSS SRN MEXICO...CENTRAL AMERICA...AND INTO THE W CARIB. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SEVERAL LOWS FORMING ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE TROUGH IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND MOVING THEM NORTHWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...BETWEEN THE WEAKENING STALLED COLD FRONT OVER THE GULF AND THE RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC. EITHER WAY...IT CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE THERE WILL BE VERY ACTIVE...SQUALLY...AND WET WEATHER FOR FLORIDA AND THE FAR E AND SE GULF DURING THIS PERIOD. CARIBBEAN SEA... A CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. AS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS SECTION...A LOW...OR COUPLE OF LOWS...ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS FEATURE. EVEN THOUGH THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE LOW FORMATION REMAINS UNCERTAIN...THERE WILL BE INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...PROBABLY BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT INTO TUE AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRI. OTHERWISE...MODERATE TRADE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A RIDGE WILL REMAIN JUST N OF THE AREA THROUGH TODAY...THEN SHIFT E TUE AS A COLD FRONT MOVES JUST OFFSHORE THE SE U.S. COAST TUE. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE JUST INTO THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE SW N ATLC BEFORE STALLING AND MEANDERING THROUGH THU. MODERATE TO FRESH SE TO S WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE. AFTER THAT...THE FORECAST IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AND DEPENDS ON THE LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW(S) THAT MOVE OUT OF THE CARIBBEAN. STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES ON THIS EVOLVING SYSTEM AND TROPICAL POTENTIAL. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL