000 AGXX40 KNHC 240638 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A RIDGE LIES JUST N OF THE GULF COAST STATES...WITH TROUGHING OVER THE FAR SW GULF. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE FEATURES IS MAINTAINING FRESH TRADE WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE GULF. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...DIMINISHING THE WINDS OVER THE GULF. THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW IN THE CARIBBEAN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS THE SYSTEM INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND...AND KEEPS THE SYSTEM OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...LOOK FOR WINDS AND SEAS TO INCREASE IN THE S CENTRAL GULF OVER THAT TIME FRAME AS A RESULT. CARIBBEAN SEA... TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW IS NEAR 14.0N78.4W AT 0300 UTC. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS MATTHEW SKIRTING THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS THROUGH SAT...THEN REACHING BELIZE SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY. OVER THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN...FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THEN DIMINISH TO MODERATE TO FRESH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MATTHEW MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN RELAXES. SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL N ATLC... RIDGING WILL REMAIN JUST N OF THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL...WITH THE STRONGEST TRADES OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. AS MATTHEW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND...TRADES WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH A WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .HURRICANE WARNING S OF 17N W OF 82W...AMZ082. .HURRICANE WARNING N OF 14N W OF 80W...AMZ084. TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL