000 AGXX40 KNHC 150658 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED SEP 15 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. WEAK RIDGE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH MAINLY NE TO E WINDS OF AROUND 10 KT AND SEAS GENERALLY UNDER 3 FT. HOWEVER TROPICAL STORM KARL IN THE NW CARIBBEAN APPROACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND AND WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT. KARL IS FORECAST TO MOVE BACK OVER WATER INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE EARLY THU STRENGTHEN BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM. KARL IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTH FURTHER TO A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE MEXICAN COAST FRI. KARL WILL MOVE INLAND INTO SOUTHERN MEXICO LATE FRI NIGHT OR EARLY SAT. WEAK TROUGH FROM 30N65W TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. N TO NE WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KT ARE NOTED BEHIND THE TROUGH. A BELT OF ELY WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE WILL PERSIST S OF 25N WITH SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL E OF THE BAHAMAS. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE LATER TODAY AS HURRICANE IGOR PASSES TO THE E OF THE AREA WITH WINDS AND SEAS INCREASING THROUGH THU NIGHT...THEN IGOR APPROACHES THE FAR E PORTION OF THE AREA. THEREFORE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED N OF 23N E OF 69W FRI THROUGH SUN. STRONG HURRICANE IGOR IS MOVING INTO THE E PORTION OF THE NE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE W OF 55W LATER THIS MORNING AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. SO A HURRICANE WARNING IS POSTED N OF 15N FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN AS THE HURRICANE MOVE N OF THE AREA TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL LINGER THU AND THU NIGHT N OF 19N BETWEEN 54W-65W. OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM EARL IS NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AT 18.6N 86.0W MOVING W AT 13 KT. EARL IS FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND THIS EVENING. THE WINDS WITH EARL ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 50 KT TODAY BEFORE EARL MOVES INLAND. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 23N E OF 69W FRI INTO SAT. CARIBBEAN... .TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM 17N-20N W OF 85W. TROPICAL N ATLC... .HURRICANE WARNING N OF 15N TODAY AND TONIGHT. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS