000 AGXX40 KNHC 140605 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE SEP 14 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. WEAK RIDGE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH MAINLY NE TO E WINDS OF AROUND 10 KT AND SEAS GENERALLY UNDER 3 FT. HIGH PRES BUILDING OVER THE SE U.S. COMBINED WITH LOW PRES MOVING THROUGH THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL TIGHTEN THE PRES GRADIENT OVER THE EASTERN GULF LATER TODAY WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 15-20 KT THROUGH THU. THEN DECREASE ON FRI. A LOW PRES CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WED AND INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THU. THE LOW HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF BECOMING BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LOW REMAINS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THROUGH EARLY SAT THEN MOVE INLAND LATE SAT. ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N69W TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS WILL EXTEND FROM 31N67W TO 27N70W TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE WED. NE WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KT BEHIND THE FRONT. A BELT OF ELY WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE WILL PERSIST S OF 25N WITH SEAS OF 4 TO 5 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE E PORTION OF THE AREA WED THROUGH FRI AS HURRICANE IGOR PASSES TO THE E OF THE AREA...HOWEVER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN E OF THE FORECAST REGION. THE FORECAST SHOWS INCREASING WINDS IN THE 20 TO 30 KT RANGE AND BUILDING SEAS OF 12 TO 18 FT IN SE SWELL PARTICULARLY THU AND FRI. STRONG HURRICANE IGOR JUST E OF THE NE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE W OF 55W LATE TODAY INTO WED AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. SO A HURRICANE WARNING WILL BE HEADLINED N OF 18N E OF 60W TONIGHT...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED THEN AS THE HURRICANE MOVES TO THE N OF THE AREA TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER N OF 20N E OF 60W INTO THU...WITH DECREASING WINDS AND SEAS FRI. OTHERWISE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES CURRENTLY NEAR 16N80W WILL MOVE TO NEAR 18N84W TONIGHT AND NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AT 18N87W WED. THE LOW COULD POSSIBLY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. TROPICAL N ATLC... .HURRICANE WARNING N OF 18N E OF 60W TONIGHT AND WED. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS