000 AGXX40 KNHC 120602 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN SEP 12 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. A WEAK RIDGE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH MAINLY E TO SE WINDS OF AROUND 10 KT AND SEAS LESS THAN 3 FT. ASCAT PASS AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT WINDS ARE 10 KT OR LESS. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT THROUGH WED WITH BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 4 FT. A COLD FRONT WILL CLIP THE FAR N GULF LATE TODAY INTO MON WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS AS THE PRES PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK. WEAK ATLC COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N66W TO 28N75W. AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS INDICATES SW WINDS TO 15 KT ARE N OF 29N AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 28N65W TO 26N72W TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATE MON. A BELT OF ELY WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE WILL CONTINUE S OF 25N WITH SEAS OF 4 TO 5 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER THE E PORTION OF THE AREA LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD THU AS MAJOR HURRICANE IGOR PASS TO THE E OF THE AREA...HOWEVER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN E OF THE AREA. THE REMNANT TROUGH OF GASTON IS FROM 18N84W TO PANAMA. THE TROUGH SHOULD MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS ARE SEEN EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. A LOW PRES CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 15N65W WILL DRIFT WNW TO NEAR 15N70W TONIGHT AND S OF JAMAICA MON NIGHT AND NEAR 18N81W TUE NIGHT. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS LOW COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. ONLY A FEW SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW AT THIS TIME. HURRICANE IGOR STILL WELL E OF THE AREA IS FORECAST APPROACH THE FAR E TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS LATE TUE INTO WED. SO WILL CONTINUE TO HEADLINE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA N OF 17N AND E OF 60W. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. TROPICAL N ATLC... .HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 17N E OF 60W WED AND THU. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS