000 AGXX40 KNHC 301853 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 255 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... MID ATLC SEABOARD RIDGE UNABLE TO BUILD SE HAS REMAINED OVER SE STATES MAINTAINING A TIGHT ENOUGH GRADIENT TO WARRANT MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE OVER MAINLY NORTHERN HALF OF GULF. OTHERWISE BASIN REMAINS UNTOUCHED BY TROPICAL SYSTEMS CREATING HAVOC OVER CARIBBEAN AND SW N ATLC BASINS. SW N ATLC... RESIDUAL LARGE NE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE DANIELLE CONTINUE TO HAMPER THE FAR NE WATERS AS THEY SLOWLY SUBSIDE. HIGH PRES HAS LITTLE OR NO TIME TO REBUILD SOUTHWARD SINCE HURCN EARL IS ABOUT TO ENTER SE CORNER OF BASIN WITH CATEGORY 3 FORCE WINDS AND SEAS TO 32 FT. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AS IT HEADS NW ACROSS BASIN THROUGH THU. MOST GUIDANCE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH BOTH TRACK AND INTENSITY AS EARL ROUNDS SW PERIPHERY OF CENTRAL ATLC RIDGE. LONG PERIOD SE SWELLS ALREADY IMPACTING FAR SE WATERS MERGING WITH PREVIOUSLY LINGERING SWELL LEFT BY HURCN DANIELLE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE...WITH THE EXCEPTION GULF OF HONDURAS WITH FRESH BREEZE...DUE TO FLAT PRES GRADIENT AS ATLC RIDGE HAS RETREATED N FORCED BY DANIELLE. RIDGE REMAINS WELL N OF 31N TUE THROUGH FRI BY HURCN EARL JUST LEAVING TROPICAL N ATLC HEADING NW. ONLY AREA IMPACTED BY EARL IS EXTREME NE CARIBBEAN N OF 16N E OF 67W WHERE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS AS HIGH AS 10 FT ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT BUT SUBSIDING TUE. EASTERN CARIBBEAN ZONE RAPIDLY RECOVERS AFTER DEPARTURE OF EARL AND SETTLES TO A QUIET MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZE THROUGH REMAINING PERIOD. JUST WHEN THINGS BEGIN CALMING DOWN...LOW PRES 1007 MB... POSSIBLE NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE...CURRENTLY EMBEDDED IN TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46W-47W APPROACHES TROPICAL N ATLC BY LATE TUE. LOW PRES CENTER SHOWS GOOD CIRCULATION AND WINDS ALREADY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...BUT IT LACKS ANY SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION. REGARDLESS OF DETERIORATING WEATHER...WINDS ARE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE LARGE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WHICH HEAD FOR THE N HALF OF TROPICAL N ATLC ARRIVING AS EARLY AS MON NIGHT. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .AMZ080...HURRICANE WARNING S OF 26N E OF 72W THROUGH TUE NIGHT AND E OF 77W WED THROUGH EARLY THU... CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .AMZ086...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 16N E OF 67W... .AMZ087...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 16N W OF 60W... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES