000
AGXX40 KNHC 111752
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2010

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE OVER THE MIDDLE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 
27.8N86.8W MOVING NW 10 KT WITH WINDS 25 KT GUST TO 35 KT IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE TO 28.6N 88.1W THIS EVENING THEN STRENGTHEN TO 
A TROPICAL STORM ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE 
MISSISSIPPI GULF NEAR 29.6N 89.4W EARLY THU THEN MOVE INLAND THU 
EVENING. LATEST NHC ADVISORY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WILL BE CONFINED TO THE NE QUADRANT. ALMOST NO CONVECTION
NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME WITH THE BULK OF
THE CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN GULF FROM 25N-27N E OF 85W ALSO
SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION IS S OF THE CENTER. WINDS AND SEAS 
DECREASE OVER THE NE GULF LATE THU AS THE STORM MOVES INLAND.
OTHERWISE MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.

ATLC SURFACE RIDGE ALONG 28N MAINTAIN E-SE WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 
KT RANGE S OF 25N E OF 75W THROUGH TONIGHT. THEN THE RIDGE 
DRIFTS S AND WEAKENS WITH LIGHT SE WINDS S OF 26N AND LIGHT S-SW 
WINDS N OF 26N THU THROUGH SAT. RIDGE SHIFTS S TO AROUND 26N SUN 
AS WEAK FRONT/TROUGH STALLS JUST N OF 31N. THE GFS HAS BACKED 
OFF ON THE INCREASE IN WINDS OVER THE FAR NE PORTION OF THE AREA.

TWO TROPICAL WAVES CROSS CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC ZONES 
THROUGH NEXT FIVE DAYS. HOWEVER NEITHER ONE CARRIES SIGNIFICANT 
STRENGTH TO INCREASE THE WINDS OR SEAS. ONLY THE SECOND WAVE MAY 
HAVE MINOR IMPACT INCREASING THE WINDS TO NEAR 20 KT SUN AND 
MON.

WARNINGS...

SW N ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ084...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 28N FROM 87W TO 90W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DSG