000 AGXX40 KNHC 042135 AAA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION...UPDATED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 535 PM EDT WED AUG 04 2010 UPDATED WARNINGS SECTION MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... AN E-W RIDGE ACROSS THE N GULF WILL BE REINFORCED TONIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT AS ATLC RIDGE BUILDS MODESTLY ACROSS FLORIDA. THIS WILL PRODUCE LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE BASIN THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WINDS LESS THAN 15 KT AND SEAS GENERALLY 3 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER ALONG THE N AND W COASTS OF THE YUCATAN DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENINGS. TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN AND SCRAPE ACROSS THE SW GULF FRI NIGHT AND SAT. SW N ATLC... THE FRONTAL TROUGH IS STILL EVIDENT FROM 31N78W TO NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL AND SHIFTING GRADUALLY NW AND SHOULD EXIT THE AREA TONIGHT AS THE ATLC HIGH RIDGES BRIEFLY INTO N PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT PRECEDED THE FORMER TROPICAL STORM COLIN HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY PAST FEW DAYS BUT HAS ENTERED THE E PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH A WEAKENED LLVL WIND SURGE...WHICH IS INFRINGING UPON SOME SAL AND PRODUCING MODEST SQUALLS BETWEEN 65W AND 67W ATTM AND SHOULD SHIFT SLIGHTLY W-NW OVERNIGHT. THE REMNANTS OF TS COLIN HAVE FLARED UP CONVECTIVELY TODAY AND HAS EVOLVED INTO AN ELONGATED NNW-SSE CYCLONIC SHEAR ZONE. THIS LOW TO MID LEVEL CYCLONIC ZONE WILL SHIFT NW AND INTO THE SE PORTIONS OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE W-NW TO NW BEFORE RECURVING N BEFORE REACHING 70W FRI NIGHT AND SAT. HURRICANE RECON FOUND GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE NE SIDE OF THIS SHEAR AXIS TODAY AND A GALE WARNING WAS ISSUED. THERE IS POTENTIAL AND SOME SUPPORT BY GUIDANCE THAT THIS SYSTEM MAY REINTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM ACROSS THESE WATERS DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. E AND NE PORTIONS OF THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN THE STRONGEST AND GENERATE SWELL AIMED AT BERMUDA AND TO THE NW. OTHERWISE EXPECT 25-30 KT WINDS WITHIN 180 NE OF THIS CIRCULATION THROUGH 36 HOURS...OR LONGER. SQUALLS AND WINDS 20-25 KT AND SEAS 7 TO NEAR 8 FT WILL BRUSH THE EXTREME NE CARIB ISLANDS AND ANEGADA PASSAGE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... THE REMNANTS OF TS COLIN ARE BREAKING THE ATLC RIDGE INTO THE BAHAMAS AND FARTHER W...AND WIND SURGES MOVING THROUGH THE CARIB NEXT 48 HOURS WILL WEAKEN AS THEY PROGRESS W. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL REACH 80W THU MORNING AND NEAR 85W SAT MORNING...WITH ASSOCIATED 20 KT WINDS AND SEAS 6-7 FT REMAINING GENERALLY N OF 14N. AS DISCUSSED ABOVE...RECON FOUND...PER SFMR...A ZONE OF 40 TO POTENTIALLY 45 KT S-SE WINDS TO THE RIGHT OF THE REMNANT TROUGH AXIS OF COLIN THAT IS GENERATING SEAS TO 14 FT ACROSS N PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS AREA WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NW OVERNIGHT AND INTO SE PORTIONS OF THE SW N ATLC WATERS...WITH SELY FLOW GRADUALLY DIMINISHING ACROSS THE N HALF OF THESE TROPICAL WATERS THROUGH SAT. IN THE WAKE OF THIS EXITING SYSTEM BELOW NORMAL WITH TRADES AT MOSTLY 15 KT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND ACROSS BOTH THE TROPICAL ATLC AND CARIB WATERS. WARNINGS...UPDATED SW N ATLC... .AMZ080...GALE WARNING N OF 22N E OF 67W... CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE .GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER STRIPLING/AGUIRRE