000 AGXX40 KNHC 222347 AAA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION...UPDATED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 745 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 UPDATED DEPRESSION THREE TO TROPICAL STORM BONNIE AND THE WARNINGS SECTION FOR BREAKPOINTS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A 1008 MB LOW NEAR 20N96W IS DRIFTING W. THE LOW COULD POSSIBLY BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE MOVING INLAND. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN 240 NM NE OF CENTER. MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE BREEZE ACROSS STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND EASTERN GULF S OF 26N E OF 87W. WINDS ACROSS STRAITS OF FLORIDA WILL INCREASE FRI AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHES FROM THE BAHAMAS. WINDS THEN VEER SE FRI NIGHT AND SAT...AND DIMINISH TO A MODERATE BREEZE SUN AND MON. SW N ATLC... NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 22.9N 75.4W 1005 MB AT 2215 UTC IS MOVING NW AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT PER LATEST RECON AIRCRAFT OBSERVATION. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FROM 2100 UTC FORECASTS BONNIE TO MOVE TO 23.8N 77.5W LATE TONIGHT...THEN STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY AS IT NEARS 24.5N 80.5W BY FRI AFTERNOON. BONNIE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SE GULF OF MEXICO FRI EVENING. ELSEWHERE A RIDGE WILL REMAIN ALONG 31N THROUGH TUE. N OF 28N TIGHT PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN TROPICAL SYSTEM AND HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 31N KEEP STRONG E-SE FLOW ACROSS REMAINDER SW N ATLC BASIN. WINDS DECREASE LATE FRI AND SAT AS SYSTEM MOVES W INTO GULF OF MEXICO. MODERATE TO FRESH SE FLOW LINGER OVER BASIN REMAINDER OF FORECAST PERIOD. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING FROM 22N48W TO 5N46W IS MOVING W AT 16 KT. IT IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE SAT AND CROSS E CARIBBEAN SUN AND MON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 KT ACROSS EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC ZONES AS PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN ATLC RIDGE AND TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING WINDWARD ISLANDS. OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED. WARNINGS... ATLC... .AMZ080...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 26N W OF 76W... CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ086...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 27N E OF 85W... .GMZ080 AND GMZ084...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 25N BETWEEN 90W AND 93W FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN... FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES/AGUIRRE