000 AGXX40 KNHC 150650 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 250 AM EDT TUE JUN 15 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... A TROUGH OVER THE SW GULF AND BAY OF CAMPECHE IS GENERATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO LINGER IN THE SAME GENERAL AREA THROUGH EARLY WED...THEN SHOULD MOVE TO THE W-NW AND INLAND INTO EASTERN MEXICO. 1017 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 28N85W IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS MOVE SE FROM ALABAMA/ GEORGIA AND ACROSS THE FAR NE GULF AND NORTHERN FLORIDA. EXPECT LIGHT 5-10 KT WINDS OVER THE E AND N CENTRAL GULF WATERS AND 10-15 KT OVER THE W AND S CENTRAL GULF...EXCEPT FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN NE-E 15-20 KT WINDS NEAR THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING EACH EVENING. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A TROPICAL WAVE IS S OF 16N JUST INLAND OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND CENTRAL COSTA RICA. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GULF OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WHILE THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE MOVES INTO THE E PACIFIC. E-SE WINDS OF 20-25 KT HAVE RETURNED TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND WILL REMAIN THROUGH FRI...FINALLY DIMINISHING TO 10-15 KT BY SAT AS THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE AREA RELAXES. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS NEARING 55W...CURRENTLY S OF 16N ALONG 53W/54W. THE WAVE WILL MOVE TO ALONG 58W LATE THIS EVENING... ALONG 62W WED EVENING...67W THU EVENING...72W FRI EVENING...AND 77W SAT EVENING. 15-20 KT TRADES WILL DIMINISH TO 10-15 KT BY LATE FRI INTO SAT AS ATLC RIDGING N OF THE AREA WEAKENS. 1012 MB LOW PRES NEAR 12N43W CONTINUES TO HAVE A LIMITED WINDOW FOR CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AND EXPECT ITS REMNANT TROUGH TO MOVE THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC ZONE THU THROUGH SAT INCREASING EASTERLY TRADES IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC TO 15-20 KT. SW N ATLC... 1020 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 27N57W HAS A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO THE W ALL THE WAY TO THE CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL. MEANWHILE A WEAK TROUGH IS MOVING OFF THE GEORGIA/ NORTHERN FLORIDA COAST N OF 29N. THE RIDGE WILL MEANDER ALONG 27N/28N THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS CONTINUE TO CLIP THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SW N ATLC WATERS. THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT TO THE N ALONG 30N BY SAT AS THE REMNANTS OF AN ATLC LOW/TROUGH MOVE INTO THE SE WATERS WITH EASTERLY WINDS INCREASING TO 20N S OF 24N ON SAT WITH THE STRENGTHENING PRES GRADIENT. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER LEWITSKY