000 AGXX40 KNHC 230657 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 255 AM EDT SUN MAY 23 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO...AN E-W RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SUPPORT SE RETURN FLOW AT 15-20 KT OVER NW PORTION THROUGH TONIGHT. THE RIDGE WEAKENS MON NIGHT AS A TROUGH DIPS S OVER THE INTERIOR N CENTRAL COASTAL PLAINS. THE TROUGH SHIFTS SE ACROSS THE NE AND E CENTRAL WATERS TUE-WED AS THE RIDGE BECOMES ORIENTATED FROM THE FL STRAITS TO NE TX. COMPLEX LOW PRES WELL E OF THE AREA IS MAINTAINING NE AT 15-20 KT OVER THE WATERS S OF 25N E OF 90W. EXPECT THE EVENING ENHANCEMENT OF NE-E WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. ATLC...SURFACE LOW PRES NEAR 25N70W 1008 MB IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NNW TO NEAR 31N70W BY LATE TUE...THEN MOVE E ALONG 31N WED WITH REMNANTS PASSING BY BERMUDA THU. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL TRAIL S ALONG ROUGHLY 70W INTO WED. A WARM FRONT MAY DEVELOP E OF THE LOW MON PASSING N OF 31N EARLY TUE. BY THEN A TROUGH...OR WEAK COLD FRONT...WILL DEVELOP W OF THE LOW AND SWEEP SE ACROSS THE NW WATERS...AND ACROSS FL MERGING WITH THE GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH. GUIDANCE SHOWS THE ASSOCIATED WIND SHIFT PASSING THROUGH THE NW BAHAMAS WED NIGHT AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS THU. TROPICAL ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...THE BROAD LOW PRES N OF THE AREA IS RESULTING IN LIGHTER THAN NORMAL TRADES ACROSS THE TROPICS. LATEST GUIDANCE IS NOT AS AGGRESSIVE WITH BROAD LOW PRES NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...THUS DROPPED FROM GRAPHICS. A TROPICAL WAVE SETTING OFF CONVECTION S OF 08N ALONG 53W SHOULD MOVE INLAND S AMERICA EARLY MON NIGHT. A WAVE S OF 10N ALONG 40W TODAY IS ONLY MOVING W AT 10 KT...AND SHOULD REACH ALONG 55W AROUND SUNSET THU. WARNINGS... ATLC... .AMZ080...GALE WARNING N OF 27N BETWEEN 71W AND 58W. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON