000 AGXX40 KNHC 101824 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EDT SAT APR 10 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... TAIL END OF COLD FRONT THAT MOVED OUT OF GULF LAST NIGHT HAS TURNED INTO WEAK TROUGH IN BAY OF CAMPECHE. MODEL GUIDANCE AGREE ON EVENTUAL LOW PRES CENTER FORMING AND DRIFTING NE ACROSS CENTRAL GULF SUN. UNCERTAINTY HIGH AS DIFFERENCE IN SOLUTIONS VARY SIGNIFICANTLY AND INCONSISTENCIES IN WIND FIELDS INDICATE MODELS DO NOT YET HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON TROUGH INTENSITY...BUT TREND IS FOR INCREASE IN E WINDS ACROSS THE BOARD ON ALL MODELS WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-12 FT. HEALTHY HIGH PRES CENTER 1032 MB N OF AREA MOVE SOUTHWARD RESULTING IN VERY TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS REGION THROUGH WED. CURRENT ALONG STRAITS OF FLORIDA OPPOSING STRONG EASTERLY WINDS LIKELY TO INCREASE SEAS. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... LOW PRES 1006 MB OVER COLOMBIA MAINTAINS TIGHT PRES GRADIENT WITH ATLC RIDGE TO THE N. THIS IN TURN PROMPTS FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADES THROUGHOUT ENTIRE CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND SUN. ATLC COLD FRONT PUSHES HIGH PRES RIDGE EASTWARD LATE SUN AND MON AND EVENTUAL DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO EXPECTED TO EASE PRES GRADIENT AND DIMINISH TRADES TO MODERATE BREEZE OR LESS ACROSS BASIN. SEAS SUBSIDE ACCORDINGLY ALTHOUGH LONG E-W FETCH ACROSS N ATLC LIKELY MAINTAIN 6-8 FT SWELLS ACROSS TROPICAL ATLC THROUGH WED. SW N ATLC W OF 55W... WEAK COLD FRONT CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM NEAR 31N68W ACROSS NW BAHAMAS TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA. FRONT CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY AS IT ATTEMPTS TO PUSH E INTO HIGH PRES RIDGE AND DISSIPATES SUN. HIGH PRES OVER U.S. MID-ATLANTIC STATES BUILDS DOWN BEHIND FRONT WITH EASTERLY FLOW SETTING UP TODAY THROUGH MON. HIGH PRES STRENGTHENS LATE MON RESULTING IN STRONG EASTERLY WINDS TUE THROUGH WED. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES