000 AGXX40 KNHC 011741 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 145 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... SURFACE HIGH NEAR FL BIG BEND WILL CONTINUE SHIFT NE WITH RIDGE EXTENDING W TO SE TX. LIGHT VARIABLE WINDS ARE NE OF RIDGE WITH SE WINDS AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER WATERS SW OF RIDGE. EXPECT GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN A LITTLE MORE TONIGHT PRODUCING BRIEF SWATH OF 20 TO 25 KT OVER W CENTRAL GULF. GRADIENT RELAXES MIDDAY FRI AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE TX COAST LATE FRI NIGHT. WINDS QUICKLY VEER TO NE AT 15 KT BEHIND FRONT WHICH WILL STALL N TO S ALONG ROUGHLY 93W SAT. AS ATLC RIDGE BUILDS W SAT NIGHT INTO SUN REMNANTS OF FRONT WILL MOVE BACK NW AS WARM FRONT AND TO PSN WELL INLAND BY SUN AFTERNOON...BUT ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS. SE RETURN FLOW IN THE 15 TO 20 KT RANGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD. BEST GUESS FOR NOW IS NEXT COLD FRONT TX COAST AROUND SUNSET WED. SW N ATLC W OF 55W... A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 31N57W TO HISPANIOLA HAS BEGUN TO MOVE E AGAIN WITH A SERIES OF POST FRONTAL NW SURGES WITH ONE ALREADY SE OF BERMUDA. THIS SHOULD PUSH FRONTAL REMNANTS SE OF FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WITH NW WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT OVER AREA N OF 25N E OF 70W THROUGH MIDDAY SAT. BY THEN ASSOCIATED NLY SWELLS ARRIVE AT NE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES. SURFACE LOW PRES WILL SHIFT SE TO NEAR 31N54W SUNRISE SAT THEN LIFT QUICKLY NE PULLING THE POST FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH WATERS E OF 65W. N WINDS OVER ATLC WATERS E OF 67W SHOULD DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT MIDDAY SUN. SURFACE RIDGE FROM GA TO HISPANIOLA FRI WILL FLATTEN AS SURFACE HIGH CENTER SHIFTS E ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS STALLING NEAR 30N72W MON AND TUE WITH RIDGE E TO W ALONG 30N. THIS WILL SUPPORT E WINDS IN 15 TO 20 KT RANGE OVER AREA S OF 25N EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN AS HIGH SHIFTS E GRADIENT WILL RELAX SOME BY MID WEEK. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE E INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLANTIC WATERS THIS AFTERNOON WHERE IT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT E AND SE THROUGH SUN. ELY TRADES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH THE ENHANCE AREA NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON