000 AGXX40 KNHC 281833 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 245 PM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... A COLD FRONT MOVED OFF THE TEXAS COAST THIS MORNING AND WILL RAPIDLY SHIFT ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO...EXITING THESE WATERS EARLY MONDAY. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IS AHEAD OF THE FRONT AFFECTING THE NE PORTION OF THE GULF...PARTICULARLY N OF 25N E OF 86W. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER IN THIS AREA OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. STRONG WINDS IN A NORTHERLY SURGE ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF...RAISING SEAS TO AROUND 10 FT OVER THE SW PORTION OF THE REGION. IN FACT...THE LATEST ASCAT PASS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING N TO NW WINDS IN THE 20 TO 25 KT RANGE OVER THE NW GULF BEHIND THE FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH ON MON AS HIGH PRESSURE FORMS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA. THE SFC HIGH WILL MOVE E-NE ACROSS THE N WATERS ALLOWING SLY RETURN FLOW TO SET UP OVER THE WESTERN GULF WED NIGHT INTO THU. SW N ATLC W OF 55W... ATLC COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR 31N53W TO 23N65W THEN CONTINUES AS A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT TO THE SE BAHAMAS. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT E OF THE AREA THROUGH MON. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST OF FLORIDA ON MON. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT BEGINNING TONIGHT. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT N OF 29N AND W OF 76W. GALE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST E OF THE FRONT ON MON...MAINLY N OF 29N AND WITHIN 240 NM E OF FRONT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N74W TO CENTRAL CUBA MON NIGHT...FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TUE NIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE ACROSS THE FAR SE PORTION OF THE AREA THU INTO FRI. A RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... BASED ON THE LATEST ASCAT AND WINDSAT PASSES AND SOME SHIP OBSERVATIONS...FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE NOTED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...WITH MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW PART OF THE BASIN EARLY MON FOLLOWED BY NLY WINDS OF 20 KT AND BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 7 FT. THE FRONT WILL REACH A POSITION FROM E-CENTRAL CUBA TO NEAR CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NICARAGUA MON NIGHT...THEN FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO THE SW CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT...AND DISSIPATE OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS WED INTO THU. WARNINGS... ATLC... .AMZ080...GALE WARNING TONIGHT. .AMZ080...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED MON N OF 29N WITHIN 240 NM E OF FRONT. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER GR