000 AGXX40 KNHC 160656 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 AM EST TUE MAR 16 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... A RIDGE EXTENDING SE FROM THE TX/LA BORDER TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU NIGHT. A WEAK HIGH CENTER WILL APPEAR ALONG THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE NW GULF THU NIGHT AND SHIFT E ALONG 28N FRI AND ACROSS N FL FRI NIGHT. ELY WINDS OVER THE SW GULF WILL BECOME NLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THU WITH MAX WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING BELOW 20 KT LATE WED NIGHT. THEN AS THE HIGH SHIFTS E TO THE NE GULF FRI SLY RETURN WILL SET UP OVER THE W PORTION...SPREADING E AND COVERING ALL WATERS FRI NIGHT. BEST GUESS FOR NOW IS NEXT COLD FRONT OFF THE TEXAS COAST AROUND SUNSET SAT. TROPICAL ATLC AND CARIBBEAN SEA... THE REMNANTS OF FRONTAL TROUGH ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE ATTM SW OF HISPANIOLA BUT N TO NE LOW LEVEL FLOW DOMINATES CARIBBEAN W OF 75W. THE NORTHERN EXTENSION OF FRONT IS PROGRESSING E AS EXPECTED EXTENDING FROM 22N62W TO HISPANIOLA. THIS FRONT SHOULD MOVE OVER ATLC WATERS NE OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND THEN E OF THE LEEWARDS WED AND THU BUT CONTINUE TO TRAIL REMNANTS W TO HISPANIOLA. ELY TRADES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WHILE NLY FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI THEN SLY RETURN FLOW BEGINS OVER NW CARIBBEAN SAT. SW N ATLC W OF 55W... A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 27N55W TO 22N65W. SEVERAL SECONDARY SURGES ARE NOTED PUMPING COLD AIR SE OVER THE WATERS N OF THE BAHAMAS MAINTAINING W TO NW LOW LEVEL FLOW AT 20 TO 30 KT. NW WINDS STILL EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT ALL WATERS W OF 65W EARLY WED...SPREADING E TO ALL WATERS W OF 55W WED NIGHT. A NW TO SE RIDGE SETS UP JUST E AND PARALLEL TO THE BAHAMIAN CHAIN WED THEN QUICKLY SHIFTS E OF 65W WED NIGHT. IN ITS WAKE AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ALONG 77W WITH LOW PRES DEVELOPING ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS WED NIGHT NEAR 26N76W. THE LOW WILL MOVE GENERALLY NE BECOMING PART OF A MUCH LARGER COMPLEX LOW SYSTEM THAT WILL DOMINATE THE ATLC WATERS W OF BERMUDA THU AND FRI. AS THE INDIVIDUAL LOWS LIFT NE THEY DRAG A SERIES COLD FRONTS THROUGH THE AREA FRI AND SAT. THE PREDOMINATE COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH FROM BERMUDA TO HISPANIOLA FRI AND MOVE SE OF AREA SAT. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON