000
AGXX40 KNHC 081844
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 PM EST MON MAR 08 2010

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W

GULF OF MEXICO...
HIGH PRES PREVAIL IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO 
PROMPTING FRESH SE RETURN FLOW OVER WESTERN GULF W OF 95W.  
GENTLE TO MODERATE NW BREEZE WITH SLIGHT SEAS COVER ELSEWHERE.  
HIGH PRES SHIFT E LATER TONIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW BECOMING STRONG 
TUE AND WED AHEAD OF WEAK COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF TEXAS 
COAST LATE WED.  FRONT EXITS SE GULF BY LATE FRI WITH WEAK HIGH 
PRES BUILDING OVER WESTERN GULF IN ITS WAKE. 

TROPICAL ATLC AND CARIBBEAN SEA...
FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LEEWARD ISLANDS TO NE COLOMBIA 
STRONG TO NEAR GALE NE WINDS AND 12-13 FT SEAS ALONG AND WITHIN 
180 NM OF AXIS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TODAY.  WEAK HIGH PRES 
REBUILDS OVER SW N ATLC DOES NOT SEEM TO TIGHTEN GRADIENT TO 
WARRANT ANY HIGHER WINDS THAN FRESH BREEZE ALONG CARIBBEAN 
STRETCH...EXCEPT ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA WHERE THERMAL LOW PRES 
1008 MB KEEPS ITS STRONGHOLD.  EVEN THOSE WINDS DIMINISH AS ATLC 
HIGH PRES MOVES EASTWARD FRI EASING GRADIENT EVEN MORE.  

SW N ATLC...
HIGH PRES 1020 MB BUILD ACROSS BASIN AND DRIFT E THROUGH WED 
NIGHT.  FRESH SE BREEZE ALONG E FLORIDA COAST INCREASE TO STRONG 
AS PRELUDE TO COLD FRONT ENTERING NW PART LATE FRI.  SW WINDS 
AHEAD OF FRONT APPROACH NEAR GALE FORCE FRI NIGHT.  MODEL 
GUIDANCE DIFFER IN STRENGTH ALTHOUGH COINCIDE IN ITS TIMING FOR 
PEAK WINDS WITH GFS BEING MOST AGGRESSIVE AND MOST OTHERS 
HOLDING SHORT OF GALE.  BASIN FLARES UP AGAIN ON BOTH SIDES OF 
COLD FRONT SAT WITH SEAS REACHING UP TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL BEHIND 
FRONT.   

WARNINGS...
ATLC...
.NONE.
 
CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES