000
AGXX40 KNHC 160718
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W

GULF OF MEXICO...
COLD FRONT FROM 27N82W TO 21N90W WITH STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS 
AND 13 FT SEAS IN ITS WAKE HAS MOVED E OF YUCATAN CHANNEL.  
WINDS DIMINISH QUICKLY BUT NE SWELLS LINGER S OF 24N THROUGH 
TODAY.  FRESH N-NE WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS SRN HALF OF BASIN TODAY 
AND WED WHILE MODERATE NW BREEZE BLOWS OVER NRN HALF.  WINDS 
VEER E AND SE THU THEN INCREASE W OF 95W LATE THU AND FRI AS 
PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS DUE TO LOW PRES APPROACH TEXAS SAT. 

CARIBBEAN...
COLD FRONT ENTER CARIBBEAN BASIN EARLY TODAY AND REACH FROM 
WINDWARD PASSAGE THROUGH JAMAICA TO E HONDURAS TONIGHT AND 
DISSIPATE WED EFFECTIVELY DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS.  N PORTION 
OF COLD FRONT REACHING TROPICAL N ATLC ZONE N OF 19N FRI.  HIGH 
PRES BUILDS ACROSS AREA OVER SW N ATLC W OF FRONT WED TIGHTENING 
PRES GRADIENT WITH LOW PRES 1006 MB ANCHORED OVER COLOMBIA.  
WINDS AND SEAS INCREASE TO STRONG BREEZE THU THROUGH SAT.   

SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W...
HIGH PRES CENTER 1020 MB MOVED E OF AREA AS RAPIDLY COLD FRONT 
ENTERED NW WATERS LAST NIGHT.  FRONT REACH FROM 31N72W TO 
CENTRAL CUBA TODAY AND FROM 24N65W TO 20N70W EARLY WED THEN 
STALL OVER FAR SE PORTION OF AREA LATE WED AND THU THEN MOVE SE 
OF AREA THU NIGHT.  HIGH PRES BUILDS BEHIND FRONT THU THROUGH 
FRI.  COLD FRONT MOVES INTO SW N ATLC FROM THE N LATE TUE NIGHT 
OR WED WITH STRONG WINDS...APPROACHING GALE FORCE...WITHIN 180 
NM E OF BOUNDARY.  MOST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE THIS.  ONLY GFS 
SOLUTION BRINGS SHORT LIVED GALE N OF 31N...SO FORECAST LEAN 
AWAY FROM ISSUING ANY GALE WARNING...BUT IS COMES CLOSE.   
  
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
.NONE.
 
CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ082...GALE WARNING S OF 25N W OF 94W. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES